Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10/5/25 16:08
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

Blue Jays +1.5.

-135
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

The Yankees' euphoria at defeating the Red Sox in the Wild Card playoff series quickly faded, as they lost to the Blue Jays in Toronto in the first game of a five-game series by a 1-10 thrashing. For the Jays, Gausman started Game 1, surviving the Yankees' bases-loaded jam in the sixth inning, when he struck out Judge with the bases loaded and no outs, swinging at a pitch.

Judge batted leadoff on Saturday, and while some die-hard Yankees fans continue to claim that the skipper doesn't respond in climactic moments like the one in which he struck out, the truth is that Judge has already had six hits this postseason.

For the Jays, the party started early, with a huge home run by Vlad Jr. to take a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the first inning. Kirk emulated him the following inning with a home run to left field, the first of two he had on the day. Guerrero had three hits in addition to brilliant defensive plays; Giménez, Varsho, Kirk, and Luke each had two, as the Jays doubled the Yankees' hits in the first game of the series.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Form

Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  1
New York Yankees

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
13 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Boston Red Sox
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  1
New York Yankees

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
13 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Boston Red Sox
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
20 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  0
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  1
New York Yankees

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  4
Baltimore Orioles
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  1
New York Yankees

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  7
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  2
New York Yankees

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  7
New York Yankees

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  10
New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Blue Jays

50 %

New York Yankees

50 %

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  1
New York Yankees

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  5
New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. The Blue Jays won Game 1 as -125 betting favorites
  2. The Yankees' top five players went 2-for-14 on Saturday
  3. The Blue Jays' 38-20 regular-season record playing as betting favorites at Rogers Centre
  4. The Yankees' bullpen has a 4.45 ERA in 2025

Our Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction

Even with big names in the bullpen, Aaron Boone has repeatedly struggled to get that part of his team to get the outs. The latest to give him trouble was Luke Weaver; Boone, against the Red Sox and Saturday against the Jays, brought Weaver into close situations and allowed five runs. Then, one inning later, Blackburn's pitches also fell short, leaving the Yankees with no chance of a comeback.

The momentum is all Toronto's, playing in front of a loyal crowd that was noisy throughout the game. The odds, however, have shifted their favoritism toward the Yankees; Boone will force his best pitcher, Fried, to pitch 6.1 innings of solid work against the Red Sox on Sunday for the Wild Card Series, a game the Yanks lost 1-3.

The Jays' bats also seem to be Fried's kryptonite; the left-hander has made three starts against Toronto this season, the last on September 7 in the Bronx, and in each of them Fried allowed three ER or more.

Our prediction for Blue Jays vs Yankees is: Blue Jays +1.5.

Prediction:

 

Blue Jays +1.5.

-135
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks