Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7/6/26 18:40
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 runs

-127
$1000 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Simon Day in MLB Picks

One of the most anticipated series of the season so far starts on Monday evening, as the Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees at Tropicana Field.

The two rivals are separated by just three wins at the top of the AL East standings, with the Rays currently holding the slim advantage. The Rays have also held the edge in recent contests against the Yankees, winning four of their last five matchups, and will come into the series in better form, thanks to nine wins from their last 11 fixtures.

In contrast, the Yankees have stuttered of late. Their 1-6 loss at home to the Twins on Sunday means that New York have won just one of their last ten matches. Swiftly turning that poor form around is essential if the Yankees want to stay in touch with the Rays and remain in postseason contention. 

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
3 Tampa Bay Rays
0.596 94 56 38
5 New York Yankees
0.563 96 54 42

Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
10 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  10
Tampa Bay Rays
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jun 25, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
13 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  12
Kansas City Royals
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
10 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  10
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Minnesota Twins

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  11
Minnesota Twins

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  9
Detroit Tigers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  7
Detroit Tigers
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Minnesota Twins

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  11
Minnesota Twins

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  9
Detroit Tigers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  7
Detroit Tigers
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  1
New York Yankees

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
New York Yankees

Jun 25, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  3
New York Yankees

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  4
New York Yankees

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Rays

67 %

New York Yankees

33 %

May 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  3
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Picks

Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. The Yankees have gone 17 games without scoring more than 5 runs
  2. There have been under 7.5 runs in 6 of the Rays' last 8 games
  3. New York has lost their last 4 road games
  4. The Rays have conceded jsut 6 runs in their last 4 home games

Our Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

Although the Rays are in far better form than the Yankees, we think this is going to be an extremely tight matchup. 

As such, we are going to avoid the moneyline and instead recommend a total runs wager. 

The Rays' defense has been playing lights out over the last few weeks, but are not quite fully firing offensively. Meanwhile, the Yankees are looking short of confidence with the bat, but with Cam Schlittler starting on the mound, we are confident that they will keep this a low scoring contest. 

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is: Under 7.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5 runs

-127
$1000 offered for betting!

WC Welcome Bonus for the Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees match!

FanDuel World Cup

The World Cup is back in the US, and FanDuel is offering some great promos during the tournament, including their welcome offer of $1000, which can be activated for this Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees match! Simply sign up and place a first bet of at least $5. In case your be loses, FanDuel will issue you the amount of your wager (up to $200 max) as a bet reset token. You can do this during your first 5 days with FanDuel, earning a total of $1000 in bet reset tokens!

Remember, the offer is only open to new sign-ups!

$1000 in bonus bets for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.