Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays (6-7) avoided a 3-game losing streak by picking up a win over the New York Yankees (8-5) on Friday night. Steven Matz picked up his 3rd in win just as many starts for the Rays. While he kept the Rays from a 3-game skid, he also sent the Yankees to bed with a 3-game losing streak. Saturday will be game two for this divisional series and will feature two of the best pitchers for each squad.
Max Fried will start for the Yankees. He is 2-0 on the season and is carrying a solid tremendous 1.35 ERA. After beginning the season with 13.1 scoreless innings of work through 2 starts, he finally gave up 3 runs in his last start. He still went 6.2 innings but did not factor into the decision against the Marlins earlier this week. He will be tested here against a Rays lineup that is hitting .253 combined.
Fried will be countered by Tampa’s Nick Martinez. He has started twice this season but has not been a part of either decision. After allowing 2 runs on 6 hits to the Brewers in his opening start, he was even stronger against the Twins on Sunday. In Minnesota, he gave up just 1 run on 1 hit through 6 innings of work.
Runs are likely not going to be easy to come by in this strong pitcher duel matchup down in Tampa.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.605 | 162 | 98 | 64 |
|
5
|
0.578 | 161 | 93 | 68 |
Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Tampa Bay Rays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Apr 10, 2026 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 2 of Max Fried’s last 3 starts.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 4 games for the NYY.
- The total has gone UNDER 5 of the last 6 NYY road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in both of Nick Martinez’s starts this season.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction
The bats have been quiet for the Yankees on the road this season. With Martinez on the bump for the Rays in this one, those struggles are likely to continue. On the other hand, Fried has looked like he is already in midseason form and should be ready to go in this tough early-season divisional matchup. We like the total to stay low in this one on Saturday.
Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees: Under 7.5
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