Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Two pitching elites square off starting on Monday as the New York Yankees duke it out with the Seattle Mariners in Game 1 of their series. The total has been set at 7.5 runs.
Momentum: The New York Yankees swept all three games in their series with the San Francisco Giants, giving up only 1 run across 27 innings. The Seattle Mariners also impressed in their opening series, winning 2 out of 3 games against the Cleveland Guardians, including an 8-0 shutout in the series finale.
The Matchup: The NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Seattle. The Yankees will start Ryan Weathers (2-2, 3.99 ERA), while the Mariners' Luis Castillo is set to make his season debut on Monday. The Yankees average 4.3 runs per game and boast a 0.33 ERA. The Mariners average 5.7 runs per game and post a 2.59 ERA after three games.
Hot on the Board: The Yankees are only slight favorites in this blockbuster matchup, trading at -104. The Mariners are valued at -112 moneyline. Also, the Yankees catch a tantalizing +164 on the -1.5 run line, while the total has been adjusted to 7.5 runs.
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Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.585 | 82 | 48 | 34 |
|
13
|
0.5 | 84 | 42 | 42 |
Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 28, 2026 - MLB
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Seattle Mariners against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Seattle Mariners - New York Yankees Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
- NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle.
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Our Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Yankees edged the Mariners 2-0
Best Bet: The Yankees have emerged as a pitching juggernaut after the first series, and I expect this team to continue to dominate teams with their arms. Again, New York is parading a 0.33 ERA, and their bullpen has yet to surrender a run this season. The Mariners’ 2.92 ERA is also elite, boosting my confidence that this game will turn into a pitching showdown. The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 20 games and 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
Secondary Pick: Back the Yankees to win. The NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Seattle. It would be an exceptional feat if the Mariners find a way to score multiple runs against the Yankees in Game 1, given how well the Bronx Bombers have been performing on the mound.
Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Seattle Mariners: Total Under 7.5 runs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.