Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3/30/26 21:40
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

Total Under 7.5 Runs

-102
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

Two pitching elites square off starting on Monday as the New York Yankees duke it out with the Seattle Mariners in Game 1 of their series. The total has been set at 7.5 runs.

Momentum: The New York Yankees swept all three games in their series with the San Francisco Giants, giving up only 1 run across 27 innings. The Seattle Mariners also impressed in their opening series, winning 2 out of 3 games against the Cleveland Guardians, including an 8-0 shutout in the series finale.

The Matchup: The NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Seattle. The Yankees will start Ryan Weathers (2-2, 3.99 ERA), while the Mariners' Luis Castillo is set to make his season debut on Monday. The Yankees average 4.3 runs per game and boast a 0.33 ERA. The Mariners average 5.7 runs per game and post a 2.59 ERA after three games.

Hot on the Board: The Yankees are only slight favorites in this blockbuster matchup, trading at -104. The Mariners are valued at -112 moneyline. Also, the Yankees catch a tantalizing +164 on the -1.5 run line, while the total has been adjusted to 7.5 runs.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
5 New York Yankees
0.585 82 48 34
13 Seattle Mariners
0.5 84 42 42

Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
8 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

San Diego Padres
10 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago White Sox
2 :  4
Seattle Mariners
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
8 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 26, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Seattle Mariners
1 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Seattle Mariners
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

San Diego Padres
10 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago White Sox
2 :  4
Seattle Mariners

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  20
Seattle Mariners

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Athletics
4 :  6
Seattle Mariners

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Colorado Rockies
6 :  10
Seattle Mariners

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Los Angeles Angels
6 :  2
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 25, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  7
New York Yankees

Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago Cubs
3 :  8
New York Yankees

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago Cubs
15 :  6
New York Yankees

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Detroit Tigers

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 25, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  7
New York Yankees

Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago Cubs
3 :  8
New York Yankees

Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago Cubs
15 :  6
New York Yankees

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
3 :  1
New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Seattle Mariners

33 %

New York Yankees

67 %

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  5
Seattle Mariners

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  6
Seattle Mariners

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
10 :  3
Seattle Mariners

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  1
New York Yankees

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  11
New York Yankees

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  2
New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 20 games.
  2. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
  4. NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle.

Our Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction

Fearless Forecast: The Yankees edged the Mariners 2-0

Best Bet: The Yankees have emerged as a pitching juggernaut after the first series, and I expect this team to continue to dominate teams with their arms. Again, New York is parading a 0.33 ERA, and their bullpen has yet to surrender a run this season. The Mariners’ 2.92 ERA is also elite, boosting my confidence that this game will turn into a pitching showdown. The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 20 games and 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.

Secondary Pick: Back the Yankees to win. The NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Seattle. It would be an exceptional feat if the Mariners find a way to score multiple runs against the Yankees in Game 1, given how well the Bronx Bombers have been performing on the mound.

Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Seattle Mariners: Total Under 7.5 runs

Prediction:

 

Total Under 7.5 Runs

-102
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks