Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Washington Nationals
5/21/26 16:05
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs to hit.

-150
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 by Stephen Abiola | in MLB Picks

Washington Nationals (25-25) and New York Mets (21-28) will meet in the National League East on Thursday night at Nationals Park. The Nationals will be looking to wrap up this four-game series with a win and clinch a 3-1 victory. They took a 2-1 series lead on Wednesday night after flooring the Mets 8-4 with CJ Abraham crushing a 3-run homer for the hosts. The Nats will be feeling confident ahead of tonight’s battle.

New York Mets, on the other side of the grass, will be actively seeking to tie this series, setting the stage for a lively matchup. They opened this series with a commanding 7-16 victory before their inconsistency issue showed up once again. Their offense has looked capable of causing problems in this series, although their pitchers have failed to control the bump. It will be a do-or-die game for them tonight.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Washington Nationals
0.492 120 59 61
25 New York Mets
0.442 120 53 67

Washington Nationals and New York Mets Latest Matches

Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  4
New York Mets

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  6
New York Mets

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  16
New York Mets

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  4
New York Mets

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  6
New York Mets

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  16
New York Mets

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
15 :  1
Washington Nationals

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  8
Washington Nationals

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  10
Washington Nationals

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  7
Washington Nationals

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  3
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  4
New York Mets

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  6
New York Mets

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  16
New York Mets

May 17, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
New York Yankees

May 16, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  3
New York Yankees

May 15, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
New York Yankees
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 17, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
New York Yankees

May 16, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  3
New York Yankees

May 15, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
New York Yankees

May 14, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  4
Detroit Tigers

May 13, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Detroit Tigers

May 12, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  2
Detroit Tigers
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  4
New York Mets

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  6
New York Mets

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  16
New York Mets

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  1
New York Mets

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
2 :  1
New York Mets

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  3
New York Mets

Washington Nationals against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Nationals

67 %

New York Mets

33 %

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  4
New York Mets

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  6
New York Mets

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  16
New York Mets

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  14
Washington Nationals

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  0
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Picks

Washington Nationals - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The total runs went over in the last five Washington vs New York clashes.
  2. The total runs went over in six of the last seven New York Mets matches.
  3. The total runs went over 7.5 in eight of the last nine Washington Nationals matches.
  4. The total runs went over 7.5 in the last five New York Mets matches.

Our Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction

Bookies are favoring the Nets to win and tie this series at -120 odds. They showed that they can cause a lot of damage in the series opener, and players like Juan Soto will be keen to lift them past the Nats. However, their 10-15 record on the road doesn’t inspire confidence. The Mets are also 1-4 in their last five away games while going 1-3 over their previous four visits to Nationals Park. For this reason, we’ll take a safer bet in over 7.5 runs. The Mets will start David Peterson, who carries a 2-4 record into this contest with a 5.40 ERA. Washington’s Cade Cavalli is also having consistency issues, going 2-2 this season with a 4.05 ERA. This could be another game where the Nats ride on their momentum to blow away the Mets early.

Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs New York Mets: Over 7.5 runs to hit.

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs to hit.

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