Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
With both teams averaging more than 5.0 runs per game over the last five games, Game 1 between the New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will likely turn into another high-scoring affair. The total is set at over/under 10 runs.
Momentum: The New York Mets are slowly and surely clawing back to contention in the NL East, having won 5 of their last 6 games to hike their regular-season record to 20-26.
The Washington Nationals dropped below .500 at 23-24 following their 3-7 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. Nevertheless, it still turned out to be a solid five-game stretch for the Nats, who claimed 3 wins and averaged 5.7 runs per game.
The Matchup: The Nats have claimed 6 wins out of the last 10 games against the Mets. They have also won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
The Mets will send right-handed pitcher Christian Scott (0-0, 3.45 ERA) to the mound on Monday. The Nats will counter with right-handed pitcher Jake Irvin (1-4, 5.91 ERA).
Scott gave up two earned runs over 4.1 innings in a 3-2 win over the Detroit Tigers on May 13. On the other hand, Irvin has surrendered 9 earned runs over 8 innings across two starts for the Nats.
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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
0.5 | 84 | 42 | 42 |
|
25
|
0.422 | 83 | 35 | 48 |
Washington Nationals and New York Mets Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
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May 12, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 14, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
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May 8, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 14, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
May 14, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 4, 2026 - MLB
Washington Nationals against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Washington Nationals - New York Mets Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games.
- NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
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Our Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Nationals outgun the Mets in a high-scoring ball game.
Safe Pick: Back the Over 10 runs. The total for this game might be two runs higher than the average over/under for any other game, but these teams are more than capable of putting points on the board with their prolific offense.
The Mets and the Nats average at least 5 runs per game over their last five games. In their last three meetings, they have averaged a combined 11.0 runs per game.
Our betting prediction for the New York Mets vs. the Washington Nationals: Over 10 Runs
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets - Other Interesting Picks
The Mets -1.5 Runs
High-Value Pick: Back the Mets to cover -1.5 runs. It will still be a high-scoring ball game, but Christian Scott will make a major difference with his pitching in this series opener. Surrendering not more than 2 runs in any of his last four starts, Scott has been more reliable than Washington’s starter, Jake Irvin, who has conceded 18 hits and 12 earned runs across his last three starts. Furthermore, New York’s bullpen (2.19 ERA over the last 5 games) has come up with fantastic late-game holds lately.
Our betting prediction for the New York Mets vs. the Washington Nationals: The Mets -1.5 Runs
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