Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7/21/26 19:40
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8.5

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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Brewers (41-60, 24-27 Home) will try to keep the good times rolling and remain undefeated since returning from the All-Star break when they host the New York Mets (42-59, 21-31 Away) in the second game of a three-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Fans can follow the action on MLB.TV once the action gets underway at 7:40 p.m. EST.

Milwaukee wasted no time in getting on top of the visiting Mets yesterday with a pair of runs in the first. New York got on the board with a run in the top of the third to make it 3-1. They closed the gap a little with two more in the eighth to close out the scoring and make the final 8-3.

Brandon Sproat is scheduled to take the mound to start the day for the Brewers. Sproat is 3-4 in 18 appearances, including 16 starts, with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. He has gone 2-2 in 8 appearances (7 starts) on the road with a 6.25 ERA and a .267 OBA.

Zac Thornton is scheduled to start for the Giants. Thornton is 0-1 in three starts with a 2.60 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP. He has pitched on the road just once this season, and it did not go well. He has an 8.31 road ERA after lasting 4 1/3 innings and giving up four runs (.235 OBA).

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Milwaukee Brewers
0.63 100 63 37
27 New York Mets
0.416 101 42 59

Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets Latest Matches

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  6
Miami Marlins

Jul 17, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
14 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  6
Miami Marlins

Jul 17, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
14 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
4 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
5 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 16, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Jul 10, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 8, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Jul 7, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  16
Kansas City Royals
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 16, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
9 :  10
New York Mets

Milwaukee Brewers against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Milwaukee Brewers

67 %

New York Mets

33 %

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks

Milwaukee Brewers - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The Brewers lead the all-time series vs. the Mets, 92-90.
  2. Milwaukee is 30-21 ATS (run line) at home; the Mets are 22-30 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 23-28 for the Brewers at home and 20-29-3 for the Mets on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 14% of total tickets and 12% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction

This was a high-scoring game yesterday (8-3), but neither team has been lighting it up from the plate since coming back from the break (Mets-- .222 BA; Brewers-- .231). Both starting pitchers have shown some real promise and the ability to limit offenses. If or when they get pulled early, both bullpens are solid. I like the Mets to win this one, but I don't expect either pitcher to get lit up, making the best bet for this low-scoring game is the UNDER.

Our Mets vs. Brewers Pick: UNDER 8.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8.5

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