Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
9/27/25 16:10
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Marlins +1.

-130
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

Incredibly, the odds of the Mets, the team with the hottest start in MLB, making the playoffs don't depend entirely on the New York team. In fact, after the Reds' victory over the Brewers on Friday and the Mets' loss to the Marlins, the odds show the Mets' postseason chances are now less than 50%, given that the Reds won the home series against the Mets.

If there's one team that can be confident heading into 2026, it's the Marlins, who will likely finish the season as the hottest team in MLB. No one could have predicted that the mathematical elimination of this Marlins team would come just three games from the end of the season. Winning the game 6-2 at LoanDepot Park, this young Marlins team has won 13 games in the month and eight of its last 10.

The Mets' starting pitching stopped working as well as it did at the beginning of the season. Mendoza went with Sproat for Game 1 against the Marlins, but things didn't go well for him; Sproat allowed four earned runs.

As for the Mets' bats, Lindor stood out in this key game with his 31st home run of the season, followed by an RBI double by Alonso that drove in Soto. However, after that inning, Alcántara, the former Cy Young hitter, regained his best form in the Mets' least favorable game

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Miami Marlins and New York Mets Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Miami Marlins

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  4
Miami Marlins
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  0
Washington Nationals

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  3
Washington Nationals
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Miami Marlins

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
4 :  6
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
10 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  9
New York Mets

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Washington Nationals

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  5
Washington Nationals
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Washington Nationals

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  5
Washington Nationals

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
Washington Nationals

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  1
San Diego Padres

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
10 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  9
New York Mets

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  3
New York Mets

Miami Marlins against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

83 %

New York Mets

17 %

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  2
New York Mets

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  11
Miami Marlins

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
19 :  9
Miami Marlins

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
Miami Marlins

Apr 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  5
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The Mets had just six hits, while the Marlins had 10 in Friday's game
  2. The Marlins had a seven-game winning streak in September
  3. 33-46: The Mets' road record this season
  4. 24-26: The Mets' record against division opponents this season
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Our Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets still have hope, given that the Reds' series is against the Brewers, the team with the best record in MLB, at American Family Field. Still, any playoff hope for the Mets hinges on two wins in Miami starting Saturday.

On Friday, the Marlins performed and won as they intend to in 2026, with Edwards and Ramírez batting second and third in the order. They got back Norby, the valuable third baseman, who hit his eighth home run, a tremendous upset for the Mets.

Saturday's pitching duel will pit Clay Holmes against Miami's Eury Pérez, another young Marlins pitcher with very high projections. As if that weren't enough, the Marlins won 64 games this season as betting underdogs.

Our prediction for Marlins vs Mets is: Marlins +1.

Prediction:

 

Marlins +1.

-130
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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Picks