Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Houston Astros
3/29/25 19:15
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

OVER 8.5

-118
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The New York Mets and Houston Astros will wrap up their season-opening three-game series in Houston tonight at Daiken Park in Houston, TX. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EST. Fans can catch the action on Fox.

Right-hander Griffin Canning is scheduled to take the mound for the Mets. It’s his first year in New York after spending 2019-2024 with the Angels. In 95 career starts, he has a 25-34 record, an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.33, and 2.6 K/BB. He started 31 games for the Angels last season and went 6-13. However, the Astros he has faced have done well against him, hitting .307 and slugging .557 with an OPS of .921 with six home runs. Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti will take the mound for the Astros. Last season was his first in the majors with Houston. He ended up playing in 29 games, starting 28, and going 7-13 with a 4.53 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and 2.6 K/BB. Opponents hit .250 against him, slugged .424, and had an OPS of .758. Arrighetti gave up 139 hits, including 21 home runs.

Houston was 46-35 at home last season; the Mets were 43-38 on the road.

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Houston Astros vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
12 Houston Astros
0.537 162 87 75
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

Houston Astros and New York Mets Latest Matches

Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 2, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Oct 1, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 20, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  7
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Los Angeles Angels
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 2, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Oct 1, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 20, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  7
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 19, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 11, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  5
Athletics
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 18, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  0
Houston Astros

Sep 17, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 16, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  1
Houston Astros

Sep 15, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  6
Houston Astros

Sep 14, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  5
Houston Astros
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
10 :  5
New York Mets

Oct 18, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 17, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 16, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 14, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  7
New York Mets
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 18, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 17, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 16, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 9, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Oct 8, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Oct 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
10 :  5
New York Mets

Oct 14, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Oct 13, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
9 :  0
New York Mets

Oct 6, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  6
New York Mets

Oct 5, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  6
New York Mets

Houston Astros against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Astros

83 %

New York Mets

17 %

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 30, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  10
Houston Astros

Jun 29, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  9
Houston Astros

Jun 28, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  2
Houston Astros

Feb 29, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
2 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 21, 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
10 :  8
New York Mets

Houston Astros - New York Mets Key Points

  1. Houston leads the all-time series vs. the Mets (regular season and playoffs) 323-267-1.
  2. Houston won the season series last year, 2-1.
  3. The Mets went 4-3 vs. Houston in spring training.
  4. The Mets have not won a season series vs. Houston since 2014.
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Our Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction

Each team has won one game in the series by the same 3-1 score. The Mets have recorded 11 hits, Houston ten. There are several things to factor into a prediction for this game: Houston’s homerun-friendly park, Juan Soto, Canning’s history against the Astros, and Arrighetti giving up 21 homeruns last season. The first two games were quiet, but I think both offenses will explode in this game. As for who wins—I’m going to say Houston, but that’s not how I’m betting.

Our Mets vs. Astros Pick: OVER 8.5

Prediction:

 

OVER 8.5

-118
$200 offered for betting!

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Houston Astros vs New York Mets Picks