Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets face off at Wrigley Field today as two of the National League's most ambitious rosters collide to close out the weekend. Chicago has enjoyed a productive start to the 2026 campaign, fueled by the major offseason addition of Alex Bregman, who has seamlessly integrated into the heart of the order. The Cubs have managed to maintain a competitive edge in the NL Central by relying on a mix of elite defense and a high-contact offensive approach. Their performance during the first few weeks of the season has been characterized by resilient comeback victories and a bullpen that has locked down leads with efficiency.
On the other side of the diamond, the Mets have undergone a massive transformation that has seen them assemble a powerhouse lineup. By bringing in high-profile talents like Bo Bichette and Marcus Semien, New York has signaled to the rest of the league that they are in a win-now mode. Despite some early-season volatility in their pitching results, the Mets' offensive ceiling is arguably the highest in the sport. They have spent the last few series showcasing an ability to put up crooked numbers in a hurry, making every inning a stressful experience for opposing managers. This game at the Friendly Confines serves as a litmus test for both organizations as they aim to prove they belong in the conversation for a pennant run.
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Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.542 | 83 | 45 | 38 |
|
25
|
0.422 | 83 | 35 | 48 |
Chicago Cubs and New York Mets Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
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0/6 (0%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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Chicago Cubs against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
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Chicago Cubs - New York Mets Key Points
- The Over is 2-3 in the Cubs' last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in the Mets' last 5 games
- The Cubs are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Mets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction
Lately, the Cubs have seen standout performances from Pete Crow-Armstrong, whose defensive wizardry in center field is often matched by his aggressive approach at the plate. Dansby Swanson has also been a steadying force, providing gold-glove caliber defense and timely hitting in high-pressure situations. However, the Cubs are currently dealing with a significant blow to their rotation as Justin Steele remains on the shelf with an elbow injury, forcing the team to lean heavily on Shota Imanaga and newcomer Edward Cabrera.
The Mets are countering with a healthy Francisco Lindor, who has been hitting the ball with remarkable consistency throughout the current road trip. Bo Bichette has also made an immediate impact, driving in runs and providing a spark at the top of the lineup. New York's rotation is led by Freddy Peralta, who has been racking up strikeouts at an elite rate in his most recent outings.
While the Mets boast a star-studded lineup, the Cubs' familiarity with the unique wind conditions at Wrigley Field and their overall defensive consistency provide them with a slight upper hand. The absence of Steele is a concern, but the Cubs' collective depth and home dominance often tilt the scales in their direction. Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: Under 8.5 runs.
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