Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7/10/25 12:05
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Under 9 runs.

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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

With the help of Juan Soto, the Mets defeated the Orioles 7-6 in Game 1. The Dominican drove in the winning run, Edwin Díaz earned the W, and Brazobán earned the save, both pitching one scoreless inning. The following day, rain prevented Game 2 from taking place. A doubleheader will be played on Thursday, but Game 3 scheduled for noon in Baltimore between the Orioles and Mets will maintain its original schedule, and, for now, the pitchers scheduled for it will be Peterson for the Mets and Morton for the Orioles.

The Mets are coming off a losing streak by winning consecutive series against the Brewers and the Subway Series against the Yankees. Soto has improved his numbers significantly, but the story of the week for the Queens team has been Soto's absence from the All-Star Game. The Dominican said he will remain focused on the Mets but admitted that he would have preferred to activate his All-Star bonus rather than have a few days off. Soto is hitting 269 AVG and has already reached 21 home runs, tying Alonso for the most HRs for the Mets in 2025.

The Orioles have two series remaining before the All-Star break. In their last narrow loss to the Mets, Holliday went 2-for-4 with two RBIs.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79
24 Baltimore Orioles
0.463 162 75 87

Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets Latest Matches

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  9
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
6 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
10 :  2
Baltimore Orioles
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  11
Tampa Bay Rays

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
22 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jun 15, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
11 :  2
Los Angeles Angels
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  9
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
6 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
10 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
6 :  10
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
12 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  2
New York Mets

Baltimore Orioles against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Baltimore Orioles

40 %

New York Mets

60 %

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets

Aug 21, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 20, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  9
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 19, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 6, 2023 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  0
New York Mets

Baltimore Orioles - New York Mets Key Points

  1. 2-6 is the Orioles record as home underdogs
  2. The Mets' pitching is third in MLB in terms of allowing the fewest HRs this season
  3. Adley Rutschman on the 10-Day IL list for the Orioles
  4. The Mets' David Peterson has already pitched over 100 innings this season

Our Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction

Veteran Charlie Morton will be starting again for the Orioles. He has a high ERA of 5.47 but has managed to significantly reduce his home runs allowed in his last five outings. Morton also has an impressive 84 strikeouts for having pitched 77 innings in 2025, three fewer than Peterson had in 102 innings, although the Mets left-hander is accustomed to challenging players and seeking contact. Our prediction for Orioles vs Mets is: Under 9 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 9 runs.

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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Picks