Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

See our betting tips for the next match between these two teams
Atlanta Braves - New York Mets Betting tips

USA - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7/5/26 12:30
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Under 9 Total Runs

-106
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

A full 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for Sunday, which will include an NL East rivalry between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Braves and the Mets.

New York enters this game as one of the worst teams in the league, and because of that, is currently in last place in the NL East division. For Game 3 of this series, the Mets are scheduled to start Nolan McLean, who has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.78. The good news is that McLean has been much better on the road compared to at home, suggesting he will be able to limit Atlanta’s offense.

As for Atlanta, they enter this game as one of the better teams in the league, and are currently in first place in the NL East division. For Game 3 of this series, the Braves are set to start Martin Perez, who has a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 3.27. Perez has been best when pitching at home this season, further suggesting runs could be at a premium in this matchup.

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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
3 Atlanta Braves
0.597 119 71 48
25 New York Mets
0.442 120 53 67

Atlanta Braves and New York Mets Latest Matches

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  11
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  0
Atlanta Braves
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  11
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  9
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jun 22, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  10
Chicago Cubs

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  10
Chicago Cubs
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
15 :  3
New York Mets

Atlanta Braves against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Braves

50 %

New York Mets

50 %

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
New York Mets

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  9
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks

Atlanta Braves - New York Mets Key Points

  1. Nolan McLean has an ERA of 3.78 this season
  2. Nolan McLean has an ERA of 2.49 on the road this season
  3. Martin Perez has an ERA of 3.27 this season
  4. Martin Perez has an ERA of 2.37 at home this season
Up to $150 to bet on Atlanta Braves - New York Mets! 

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Our Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction

The Braves are the slight favorite; however, the under looks to be the best option. Looking closer at the home/away splits for these two starting pitchers, we see that McLean has made eight away starts this season, having allowed 18 runs (13 earned) over 47.0 innings. Perez, on the other hand, has made nine home appearances (six starts) this season, in which he has allowed 10 earned runs over 38.0 innings.

The Braves have overall been one of the better offenses in the league, but have struggled recently and are now facing McLean, who is excellent on the road. Because of this, our Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets prediction is: Under 9 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 9 Total Runs

-106
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.