Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 5/9/26, 3:53 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 5/10/26 at 11:42 PM in MLB Picks

The New York Mets have positioned themselves as a no-brainer pick to cover -1.5 runs (+140) in Game 2 of their series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Mets will be looking to bank on Clay Holmes’ matchup against Merrill Kelly, who has given up 19 earned runs over his last three starts.

Momentum:

The New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games, improving their regular-season record to 15-23 from 10-20 at the start of May. The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 7 of their last 8 assignments, causing them to plunge three games below .500 (third in the National League West).

The Matchup:

The Mets took Game 1 of their current series with the Diamondbacks, 3-1, behind Nolan McLean’s strong start (one earned run over 6 innings performance and a tiebreaking double in the 10th inning from Mark Vientos, who also blasted a solo homer in the 2nd innings of the same game. The Mets improved to 4-3 in their last 7 meetings with the Diamondbacks.

Starting Pitchers:

Mets RHP Clay Holmes (4-2, 1.69 ERA): Holmes further lowered his ERA to 1.69 after giving up one earned run over 6.2 innings in a 5-1 win over the LA Angels on May 3.

Diamondbacks RHP Merrill Kelly (1-3, 9.95 ERA): Kelly has given up 19 earned runs over his last 13.2 innings on the bump. The Diamondbacks lost in 4 of Kelly’s last 5 starts.