Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB
USA - MLB
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Under 8.5 is getting traction as two mediocre offensive teams, the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets, open their three-game weekend series on Friday.
Current Form:
Arizona Diamondbacks lost the last two games of their most recent series against the Pittsburgh Pirates, including a 2-4 loss on Thursday. Arizona has lost 6 of its last seven games, falling to 17-19 in the season.
The Diamondbacks have commanded a strong 3.14 ERA over the last five games. However, they are only scoring 3.1 runs per game on a .179 BA during this stretch.
The New York Mets could not complete a sweep of the Colorado Rockies after dropping the series finale 2-6. Nevertheless, the Mets have gone 3-2 in their last five games.
Over these last five games, the Mets have sported a respectable 3.43 ERA and batted .247 with 4.7 runs per game.
Starting Pitchers: Mets RHP Nolan McClean (1-2, 2.97 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RHP Ryne Nelson (1-3, 6.61 ERA).
The Mets have lost in McClean’s last five starts, during which the starter has registered a 3.10 ERA over 5.2 innings. After giving up 8 earned runs against Toronto (April 19) and 6 earned runs against San Diego (April 26), Nelson pitched for 5.2 innings against the Chicago Cubs on May 2, surrendering one earned run and four hits in a 0-2 loss.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
0.5 | 82 | 41 | 41 |
|
25
|
0.422 | 83 | 35 | 48 |
Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
May 3, 2026 - MLB
May 2, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
Apr 25, 2026 - MLB
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 3, 2026 - MLB
May 2, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2026 - MLB
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
Apr 28, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 4, 2026 - MLB
May 3, 2026 - MLB
May 2, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2026 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
Apr 28, 2026 - MLB
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
Apr 24, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 4, 2026 - MLB
May 3, 2026 - MLB
May 2, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2026 - MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 9, 2026 - MLB
Apr 8, 2026 - MLB
Apr 7, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2024 - MLB
Aug 28, 2024 - MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets' last 6 games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction
Aside from their rock-solid pitching numbers, New York and Arizona are two teams still searching for consistency on the offensive end. Caesars Sportsbook set the total at 8.5 runs for Game 1 of this series, which makes the UNDER an attractive pick at -110.
These teams have combined for an average of roughly 8.0 runs per game over their last three meetings. Again, New York and Arizona sit in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game. The Mets average 3.6 runs per game, while the Diamondbacks score 4.6 runs per game this season.
The trends also favor the Under heavily. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets' last 6 games and 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home.
Despite their rocky showing in their recent starts, neither Nolan McLean nor Ryan Nelson has allowed more than two runs against the opposing side.
The chances of this series opener turning into a low-scoring affair are rather high, given the mediocre offenses involved. Add to the equation that McLean and Nelson are both capable pitchers who can limit the damage to two runs or fewer through 5 or 6 innings, Under 8.5 is in terrific shape to hit in this match.
Our betting prediction for the New York Mets vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks: Under 8.5 runs
Caesars Rewards Program
Caesars Sportsbook really spoils new users with an awesome rewards program, making every wager count towards something bigger! Available for users across the country, this program is a bettor's dream. As you enjoy the thrills of sports betting or casino games online, you can earn up to 10 Reward Credits for every $100 wagered on straight bets. And if parlays are more your style, you'll earn up to 20 Reward Credits for every $100 wagered. With Caesars Sportsbook, your bets not only bring the excitement of the game but also the joy of accumulating rewards that enhance your gaming experience. Play now and let Caesars treat you like royalty with each bet you place!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
