Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
8/15/26 13:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Liberty (-7.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty (21-14) visit the Connecticut Sun (8-24) for a 2026 WNBA regular season matchup on Saturday, August 15, at Mohegan Sun Arena. 

The Liberty have had the Sun's number this season, winning their first two matches by an average margin of 20 points. In their most recent matchup back in June, Breanna Stewart's 28 points led the Liberty to an 89-80 victory.

Moreover, New York has been in better form recently, winning five of their last six games. They're coming off an 85-81 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks on Thursday. The Liberty had a 26-point lead after three quarters, building enough cushion to hold off a furious Sparks rally in the final period.

Five Liberty players scored in double digits, led by Sabrina Ionescu's 20 markers. New York has been superb on that end of the floor, ranking third in the league in offensive rating (114.0). 

If the Liberty are in good form, the Sun are the opposite. They've lost six of their last seven games, including an embarrassing 104-69 defeat at the hands of the Atlanta Dream. 

It doesn't help Connecticut's chances that a couple of their injured key cogs, Brittney Griner and Aaliyah Edwards, are listed as questionable for Saturday.

Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
6 New York Liberty
0.6 35 21 14 1
14 Connecticut Sun
0.25 32 8 24

Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 13, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
69 :  104
Atlanta Dream

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 2, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
83 :  63
Connecticut Sun

Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
94 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
92 :  84
Connecticut Sun

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
123 :  88
Connecticut Sun
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 13, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
69 :  104
Atlanta Dream

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

Jul 10, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  79
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 2, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
83 :  63
Connecticut Sun

Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
94 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
92 :  84
Connecticut Sun

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
123 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  63
Connecticut Sun

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 13, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  81
L.a. Sparks

Aug 11, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
106 :  92
New York Liberty

Aug 9, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
111 :  71
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
92 :  86
Seattle Storm

Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
95 :  83
Seattle Storm

Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 13, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  81
L.a. Sparks

Aug 9, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
111 :  71
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
92 :  86
Seattle Storm

Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
95 :  83
Seattle Storm

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
95 :  94
Chicago Sky

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  88
Dallas Wings
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 11, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
106 :  92
New York Liberty

Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty

Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
104 :  99
New York Liberty

Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
109 :  113
New York Liberty

Jul 20, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  99
New York Liberty

Jul 18, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
108 :  88
New York Liberty

Connecticut Sun against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Connecticut Sun

17 %

New York Liberty

83 %

Jun 8, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  89
New York Liberty

May 8, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
106 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  87
New York Liberty

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  62
New York Liberty

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Picks

Players list

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
B. Griner O. Nelson-Ododa

L. Lacan

C. Leger-Walker

D. Miller

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones

S. Ionescu

P. Astier

B. Stewart

R. Allen

Substitutes

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
K. Burke R. Marshall

H. Van Lith

S. Rivers

G. Kneepkens

A. Jackson

N. Angloma

A. Edwards

R. Beers

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
H. Xu R. Carrera

R. Gardner

M. Johannes

M. Fauthoux

S. Sabally

L. Fiebich

Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The Liberty won the first two matches against the Sun by an average margin of 20 points.
  2. The Liberty have won five of their last six games.
  3. The Sun have lost six of their last seven games.
  4. The Liberty have the better offensive rating.

Our Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction

New York has dominated Connecticut this season, and that should repeat itself on Saturday. The Liberty enter this rematch in good form, having won five of their last six games. 

Meanwhile, the Sun's offense remains stagnant, ranking dead last in the league in offensive rating. The Liberty should run away with this game. Our prediction for the Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty match is: Liberty (-7.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Liberty (-7.5) cover the spread

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.