Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Buffalo Bills
1/4/26 16:25
New York Jets

Prediction:

 

Buffalo -7

-105
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 by Bill Christy in NFL Picks

Typically, in the final week of the regular season in the NFL, you have some teams playing for something significant, like a division title or a better playoff seeding. Other times, teams have everything locked in, and they will rest starters and play players that normally do not see significant playing time.

The Buffalo Bills (11-5) are one of those teams that have everything locked in and would normally sit their starters in this matchup with the New York Jets (3-13). However, the Bills have stated that their starters will be playing, and they plan on taking this game very seriously. The Bills heartbreakingly lost their last game to the Philadelphia Eagles. Josh Allen had an open receiver on the final play that would have given them the win and a chance to still win the division. He missed the receiver and the Bills fell 13-12. Now they seemingly have nothing to play for and will be playing one of the top teams in the AFC in the opening round on the road.

The Jets have had another very Jets-like season and are currently on a 4-game losing streak in which they have allowed an average of 38.25 points per game. Their one bright spot has been the play of do-it-all running back Breece Hall. He is coming off a game in which he took just 14 carries for 111 yards and a touchdown. He will need an even bigger game here to keep the Jets in this road game against the Bills.

Will the Bills keep their word and play this game out like it is another regular-season matchup? Or is this all a stunt, and Josh Allen and others will only play a series or two?

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Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
8
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
0.706 17 12 5
31
New York Jets
New York Jets
0.176 17 3 14

Buffalo Bills and New York Jets Latest Matches

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
12 :  13
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
20 :  23
Buffalo Bills

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
31 :  35
Buffalo Bills

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
39 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
7 :  26
Buffalo Bills

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  19
Buffalo Bills
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
12 :  13
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
39 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
44 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
20 :  23
New England Patriots

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  19
New Orleans Saints
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
20 :  23
Buffalo Bills

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
31 :  35
Buffalo Bills

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
7 :  26
Buffalo Bills

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  19
Buffalo Bills

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
30 :  13
Buffalo Bills

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
9 :  40
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
New York Jets Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  42
New England Patriots

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
29 :  6
New York Jets

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
48 :  20
New York Jets

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
23 :  10
New York Jets
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  42
New England Patriots

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  20
Cleveland Browns

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
6 :  13
Carolina Panthers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
11 :  13
Denver Broncos
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
29 :  6
New York Jets

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
48 :  20
New York Jets

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
23 :  10
New York Jets

Nov 13, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
27 :  14
New York Jets

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
38 :  39
New York Jets

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  21
New York Jets

Buffalo Bills against New York Jets : Head to Head (H2H)

Buffalo Bills

80 %

New York Jets

20 %

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  30
Buffalo Bills

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  14
New York Jets

Oct 14, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
20 :  23
Buffalo Bills

Nov 19, 2023 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
32 :  6
New York Jets

Sep 11, 2023 - NFL

New York Jets
22 :  16
Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills - New York Jets Key Points

  1. NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
  2. NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo.
  3. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against NY Jets.
  4. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games played in week 18.
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Our Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction

The spread dropped by nearly a touchdown after the Bills lost to the Eagles. Oddsmakers seem to doubt Buffalo’s commitment to treating this game like any other and expect the Bills' starters to play sparingly. While that may ultimately be true, we believe even the backups for the Bills will be able to do enough to cover the number here at home on a cold/wintry day in Buffalo.

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets: Buffalo -7

Prediction:

 

Buffalo -7

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Picks