New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

New York Jets
1/4/26 16:25
Buffalo Bills

Prediction:

 

Buffalo -7

-105
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 by Bill Christy in NFL Picks

Typically, in the final week of the regular season in the NFL, you have some teams playing for something significant, like a division title or a better playoff seeding. Other times, teams have everything locked in, and they will rest starters and play players that normally do not see significant playing time.

The Buffalo Bills (11-5) are one of those teams that have everything locked in and would normally sit their starters in this matchup with the New York Jets (3-13). However, the Bills have stated that their starters will be playing, and they plan on taking this game very seriously. The Bills heartbreakingly lost their last game to the Philadelphia Eagles. Josh Allen had an open receiver on the final play that would have given them the win and a chance to still win the division. He missed the receiver and the Bills fell 13-12. Now they seemingly have nothing to play for and will be playing one of the top teams in the AFC in the opening round on the road.

The Jets have had another very Jets-like season and are currently on a 4-game losing streak in which they have allowed an average of 38.25 points per game. Their one bright spot has been the play of do-it-all running back Breece Hall. He is coming off a game in which he took just 14 carries for 111 yards and a touchdown. He will need an even bigger game here to keep the Jets in this road game against the Bills.

Will the Bills keep their word and play this game out like it is another regular-season matchup? Or is this all a stunt, and Josh Allen and others will only play a series or two?

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New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
8
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
0.706 17 12 0 5
31
New York Jets
New York Jets
0.176 17 3 0 14

New York Jets and Buffalo Bills Latest Matches

New York Jets
New York Jets Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
42 :  10
New York Jets

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
6 :  29
New Orleans Saints

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
20 :  48
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  10
New York Jets

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  27
New York Jets

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  23
Baltimore Ravens
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
42 :  10
New York Jets

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  10
New York Jets

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  27
New York Jets

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
20 :  27
New York Jets

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
13 :  6
New York Jets

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
13 :  11
New York Jets
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
6 :  29
New Orleans Saints

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
20 :  48
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  23
Baltimore Ravens

Nov 13, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
14 :  27
New England Patriots

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
39 :  38
Cincinnati Bengals

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
21 :  27
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
13 :  12
Buffalo Bills

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
23 :  20
Cleveland Browns

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  31
New England Patriots

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
34 :  39
Buffalo Bills

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
26 :  7
Pittsburgh Steelers

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
19 :  23
Houston Texans
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
13 :  12
Buffalo Bills

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
34 :  39
Buffalo Bills

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  28
Buffalo Bills

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
23 :  20
Buffalo Bills

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  31
Buffalo Bills
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
23 :  20
Cleveland Browns

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  31
New England Patriots

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
26 :  7
Pittsburgh Steelers

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
19 :  23
Houston Texans

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
13 :  30
Miami Dolphins

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  9
Carolina Panthers

New York Jets against Buffalo Bills : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Jets

20 %

Draw

0 %

Buffalo Bills

80 %

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
30 :  10
New York Jets

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
14 :  40
Buffalo Bills

Oct 14, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
23 :  20
New York Jets

Nov 19, 2023 - NFL

New York Jets
6 :  32
Buffalo Bills

Sep 11, 2023 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
16 :  22
New York Jets

New York Jets - Buffalo Bills Key Points

  1. NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
  2. NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo.
  3. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against NY Jets.
  4. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games played in week 18.
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Our New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

The spread dropped by nearly a touchdown after the Bills lost to the Eagles. Oddsmakers seem to doubt Buffalo’s commitment to treating this game like any other and expect the Bills' starters to play sparingly. While that may ultimately be true, we believe even the backups for the Bills will be able to do enough to cover the number here at home on a cold/wintry day in Buffalo.

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets: Buffalo -7

Prediction:

 

Buffalo -7

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Picks