New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

New Orleans Saints
12/7/25 13:00
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction:

 

New Orleans +8.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy in NFL Picks

A rematch of divisional foes takes place Sunday in Tampa. The New Orleans Saints (2-10) will take on the Tampa Buccaneers (7-5) and try to get one back after losing 23-3 at home back in late October. In the 1st game, Tampa led from start to finish despite being outgained in the game. The 4 turnovers that New Orleans committed made it nearly impossible for them to stay in that game.

Since that game, the Saints have gone just 1-3 and have been starting rookie Tyler Shough recently. Shough has been so-so with 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on the season, but overall, the Saints have only been averaging 15.2 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. They will need to find a way to put up more than 3 points as they did in the previous matchup to play spoiler here against the Bucs.

Tampa is finally starting to get a bit healthy. Chris Godwin has returned to action; Baker Mayfield remains a bit banged up, but Emeka Egbuka is at full strength, and Mike Evans could be returning soon. However, things have not gone great since their last game with the Saints. Tampa has gone just 1-3 with the lone win coming last week against an inferior Cardinals team. Tampa still holds a slim lead over the Panthers in the NFC South, but a loss here could change that.

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.583 12 7 0 5
30
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
0.167 12 2 0 10

New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest Matches

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
17 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  10
New Orleans Saints

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
17 :  7
Carolina Panthers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
14 :  26
Chicago Bears
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  10
New Orleans Saints

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
25 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
14 :  26
New Orleans Saints

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
26 :  21
New Orleans Saints

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  13
New Orleans Saints
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
17 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
17 :  7
Carolina Panthers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
14 :  26
Chicago Bears

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  44
Seattle Seahawks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
17 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9 :  24
Detroit Lions
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
17 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
19 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
31 :  25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9 :  24
Detroit Lions

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
38 :  35
Seattle Seahawks

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  19
Houston Texans

New Orleans Saints against Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Head to Head (H2H)

New Orleans Saints

17 %

Draw

0 %

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

83 %

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
51 :  27
New Orleans Saints

Dec 31, 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
23 :  13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 5, 2022 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
16 :  17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 17, 2021 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  20
New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Key Points

  1. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.We fully expect the Bucs to win this game but the 8.5 point spread seems too high for a tough divisional game. We are already seeing over 70% of the public backing the big favorites here and that is more than enough to push us over to the road dog. We think New Orleans keeps this one a little bit closer by not turning the ball over 4 times like the previous meeting. Saints cover here on the road
  2. Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
  3. Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
  4. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS s favorites this season.

Our New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

We fully expect the Bucs to win this game, but the 8.5-point spread seems too high for a tough divisional game. We are already seeing over 70% of the public backing the big favorites here, and that is more than enough to push us over to the road dog. We think New Orleans keeps this one a little bit closer by not turning the ball over 4 times like the previous meeting. The Saints cover here on the road.

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints: New Orleans +8.5

Prediction:

 

New Orleans +8.5

-110
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New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks