New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
10/29/25 21:00
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

Less than 225.5 goals

-112
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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The New Orleans Pelicans will be desperate to notch their first win of the season when they visit the defending champion Denver Nuggets tonight at Ball Arena. New Orleans' 0–3 start has been defined by defensive lapses and the absence of key players, most notably Zion Williamson. Even with solid offensive output—averaging 119.0 points per game and shooting 44.6% from the floor—the Pelicans have struggled to contain opposing offenses, giving up an alarming 126.7 points per contest. That gap has effectively erased any advantages they've had in scoring depth or transition play. Without Williamson dominating inside, New Orleans has also lacked physical presence on the glass, collecting just 46.0 rebounds per game.

On the other side, the Nuggets are trending upward after shaking off a season-opening loss to Golden State with back-to-back road wins. Denver's momentum is largely fueled by Jamal Murray, who exploded for 43 points in a thrilling win over Minnesota. Alongside him, Nikola Jokic has once again been the steady force orchestrating Denver's offense, averaging a near triple-double while anchoring their rebounding efforts.

The Nuggets' offensive efficiency has been elite early in the season—they're shooting over 52% from the field and averaging more than 10 offensive rebounds per game at home. That combination of shot-making and hustle makes them a tough matchup for a Pelicans team struggling to defend in transition and protect the rim.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
6
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
0.667 3 2 1 2
15
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
0 3 0 3 -3

New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
122 :  90
New Orleans Pelicans

Oct 24, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
120 :  116
New Orleans Pelicans

Oct 22, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
122 :  128
Memphis Grizzlies

Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Indiana Pacers
113 :  104
New Orleans Pelicans

Jul 16, 2025 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
81 :  95
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Portland Trail Blazers
93 :  87
New Orleans Pelicans
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
122 :  90
New Orleans Pelicans

Oct 24, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
120 :  116
New Orleans Pelicans

Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Indiana Pacers
113 :  104
New Orleans Pelicans

Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Portland Trail Blazers
93 :  87
New Orleans Pelicans

Jul 12, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Los Angeles Lakers
94 :  81
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Oct 22, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
122 :  128
Memphis Grizzlies

Jul 16, 2025 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
81 :  95
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 10, 2025 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
91 :  98
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 10, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
111 :  136
Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
114 :  119
Brooklyn Nets

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
108 :  124
Los Angeles Lakers
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
127 :  114
Minnesota Timberwolves

Oct 25, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
111 :  133
Denver Nuggets

Oct 23, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  137
Golden State Warriors

Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
106 :  84
Los Angeles Lakers

Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
81 :  76
LA Clippers

Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Toronto Raptors
101 :  97
Denver Nuggets
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
111 :  133
Denver Nuggets

Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Toronto Raptors
101 :  97
Denver Nuggets

Jul 12, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Minnesota Timberwolves
94 :  83
Denver Nuggets

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets
L L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
127 :  114
Minnesota Timberwolves

Oct 23, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  137
Golden State Warriors

Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
106 :  84
Los Angeles Lakers

Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
81 :  76
LA Clippers

Jul 10, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
89 :  90
Milwaukee Bucks

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

New Orleans Pelicans against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

New Orleans Pelicans

33 %

Denver Nuggets

67 %

Feb 5, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
119 :  144
Denver Nuggets

Feb 3, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
113 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Dec 22, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
132 :  129
New Orleans Pelicans

Nov 15, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
94 :  101
New Orleans Pelicans

Jan 12, 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
113 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Nov 17, 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
110 :  115
New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. The Pels are 23-1 in their last 24 road games vs. teams with a winning record
  2. The Pels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs
  3. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at Ball Arena vs. teams with a losing record
  4. The Over is 7-1 in the Nuggets’ last 8 night games vs. the Pels after a road win

Our New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Pelicans' injury situation doesn't help matters. Dejounte Murray remains sidelined, and Williamson is officially listed as questionable, which creates uncertainty for a team already fighting to find its rhythm. Head coach Willie Green has emphasized the need for better defensive effort and second-chance control, but so far, those adjustments haven't translated on the court. The team's offensive rhythm, led by Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum, has kept them competitive early in games, but their defense consistently breaks down late, leading to big deficits that balloon quickly.

Denver's only minor concern is the status of Cameron Johnson, who's questionable with shoulder soreness. However, the Nuggets' depth has proven more than capable of filling gaps, with role players like Michael Porter Jr. and Aaron Gordon stepping up on both ends.

Ultimately, this looks like another uphill battle for New Orleans. Even if Williamson returns, he'll be facing one of the most disciplined and well-rounded teams in the league. Denver's superior ball movement, rebounding advantage, and interior strength make them the clear favorite to extend their winning streak to three games. Unless the Pelicans can find a way to contain Jokic and limit second-chance points, the Nuggets should cruise to another comfortable victory at home. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans: Under 225.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Less than 225.5 goals

-112
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New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Picks