Germany vs Netherlands Prediction & Picks - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
World - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
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by Paul Tamayo in Basketball Picks
Germany (5-1) takes on Netherlands (2-4) for a FIBA World Cup Qualifying game on Thursday, August 27, at Lanxess Arena in Cologne, Germany.
These two teams are facing each other in an official FIBA match for the first time since 2016. Germany dominated that game by 31 points, with Johannes Voigtmann and Daniel Theis leading the way.
The landscape has changed for the two teams since then, but Germany is still the stronger team on paper. They're parading a lineup spearheaded by longtime star guard Dennis Schroder. Isaac Bonga and Tristan da Silva are expected to take on bigger roles, too.
Germany is also riding good momentum right now, having won the DBB Supercup championship. They beat Croatia, 96-87, boosted by Oscar da Silva's 22 points. Maodo Lo chipped in 19 markers, while Schroder contributed a double-double of 10 points and 10 assists.
As for the Dutch, they're in real danger of getting eliminated from World Cup contention. They've lost back-to-back games, including a 92-84 defeat at the hands of Poland.
Netherlands could still make a fight out of this, if they can take away Germany's rhythm early. On offense, they are relying on a pair of big games from top scorers Keye van der Vuurst and Yannick Franke.
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Germany vs Netherlands Form
Germany and Netherlands Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 22, 2026 - Basketball Supercup
Aug 21, 2026 - Basketball Supercup
Jul 6, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Jul 3, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Mar 1, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Feb 27, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 22, 2026 - Basketball Supercup
Aug 21, 2026 - Basketball Supercup
Jul 6, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Mar 1, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Nov 28, 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Sep 12, 2025 - EuroBasket
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 3, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Feb 27, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Dec 1, 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Sep 14, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 3, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 6, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Jul 3, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Jun 23, 2026 - International Friendly Games
Mar 1, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Feb 27, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Dec 1, 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
0/5 (0%)
5/5 (100%)
Jul 3, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Mar 1, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Dec 1, 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Sep 6, 2022 - EuroBasket
Sep 3, 2022 - EuroBasket
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 6, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Jun 23, 2026 - International Friendly Games
Feb 27, 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Nov 28, 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
Sep 8, 2022 - EuroBasket
Sep 5, 2022 - EuroBasket
Germany - Netherlands Key Points
- Netherlands have lost their last two games by an average margin of 5.5 points.
- Several key cogs for Germany are not playing, including Franz Wagner, Andreas Obst, and Daniel Theis.
- Netherlands' Kyle van der Vuurst is averaging 20.8 points this year.
- Netherlands is more desperate to retain their World Cup contention hopes.
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Our Germany vs Netherlands Prediction
Germany heads into this game with stronger personnel than Netherlands, but they're missing several of their key pieces. Daniel Theis, Andreas Obst, Franz Wagner, and Moritz Wagner are not suiting up on Thursday.
Meanwhile, Netherlands will be very desperate to keep their World Cup hopes alive. Germany is the favorites, but don't count out the Dutch just yet. Our prediction for the Germany vs Netherlands match is: Netherlands (+26.5) cover the spread.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
