Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Napoli
1/31/26 12:00
Fiorentina

Prediction:

 

Napoli win the match

-120
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 by Tyler Doty | in Serie A Picks

It is high time for Napoli to start a winning streak in Serie A to reduce their 9-point gap behind leaders Inter. The reigning Italian champions, currently fourth in Serie A, have lost ground in the Scudetto race over the last five matchdays. Between January 7 and January 25, Hojlund's teammates (6 goals) picked up only 6 points out of a possible 15. After three consecutive draws against Hellas Verona (2-2), Inter Milan (2-2) and Parma (0-0), Napoli narrowly beat Sassuolo (1-0) before suffering a heavy defeat in Turin against Juventus (3-0) last weekend. That defeat left its mark, as Antonio Conte's side were surprised at home by Chelsea (2-3) on the last day of the Champions League group stage. It was a heavy blow for Napoli, who will not be playing in the knockout stages of this season's Champions League!

Fiorentina gave their fans something to cheer about between January 4 and January 18, picking up eight points in four games (two wins and two draws). Unfortunately, the Viola, who had climbed out of the relegation zone, fell back into it following their defeat to Cagliari at the Artemio Franchi (1-2) last weekend. Marked by this defeat against a direct rival for survival, the Florence club was knocked out of the Italian Cup in the round of 16 by Como (1-3) on Tuesday evening. Visiting the Diego Armando Maradona stadium, Fiorentina could suffer a 3rd defeat in a row.

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Napoli vs Fiorentina Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Napoli
76 38 23 7 8 +22
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Napoli and Fiorentina Latest Matches

Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
D D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
3 :  0
Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  1
Napoli

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli
W W D D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Hellas Verona

Dec 22, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna

Dec 18, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan
L W W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
3 :  0
Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  1
Napoli

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Napoli
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Latest matches
W D D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 27, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese
L W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 27, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona
L L L L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Dec 18, 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

Napoli against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

67 %

Draw

17 %

Fiorentina

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Jan 4, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Napoli

May 17, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 18, 2024 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
3 :  0
Fiorentina

Oct 8, 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  3
Fiorentina
Napoli vs Fiorentina Picks

Napoli against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
A. Meret
22
G. Di Lorenzo
5
J. Jesus
4
A. Buongiorno
3
M. Gutierrez
68
S. Lobotka
8
S. Mctominay
37
L. Spinazzola
26
A. Vergara
19
R. Hojlund
20
E. Elmas
10
A. Gudmundsson
91
R. Piccoli
19
M. Solomon
4
M. Brescianini
44
N. Fagioli
80
G. Fabbian
21
R. Gosens
5
M. Pongracic
15
P. Comuzzo
2
Dodo
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Fiorentina

Substitutes

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

M. Ferrante

N. Contini

Defender

S. Beukema

M. Olivera

G. Di Lorenzo 30'

Midfielder

E. De Chiara

Forward

Giovane

A. Vergara 84'

R. Lukaku

R. Hojlund 90'

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

L. Lezzerini

Defender

F. Parisi

M. Solomon 70'

L. Ranieri

R. Gosens 71'

E. Kouadio

N. Fortini

L. Balbo

Midfielder

J. Harrison

C. Ndour

J. Fazzini

A. Gudmundsson 79'

R. Mandragora

G. Fabbian 46'

Forward

M. Kean

M. Brescianini 70'

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

V. Milinkovic Savic

Defender

P. Mazzocchi

Midfielder

F. Anguissa

Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Giovane (6 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)

Napoli - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Napoli have lost ground in the title race in recent weeks (one win in their last five Serie A games).
  2. Napoli are still unbeaten at home in Serie A: seven wins and three draws.
  3. Fiorentina have the third-worst away record: one win, five draws, and five defeats.
  4. La Viola have lost their last two games (Cagliari and Como), including Serie A and Coppa Italia matches.
  5. Napoli have won their last three league games against La Viola (0-3, 2-1, 1-3).
Up to $250 to bet on Napoli - Fiorentina! 

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Our Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction

If Napoli want to retain their title and get back into the Scudetto race, they must take all three points against Fiorentina, who are fighting relegation and battling to stay up. Having won their last three head-to-head matches (0-3, 2-1, 1-3), Napoli could roll over the Viola this weekend as they did in the first leg, which they won 1-3 on September 13. In any case, victory is imperative for Antonio Conte's team, which must reduce its nine-point deficit to the leaders.

Our prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina is: Napoli victory!

Prediction:

 

Napoli win the match

-120
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.