Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Italian Super Cup

Italy - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
12/18/25 14:00
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

AC Milan wins

+165
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 by Tyler Doty in Soccer Picks

The Italian Super Cup is being played this week! In this first semi-final, we will see a huge clash between Napoli and AC Milan on Thursday at King Saud University Stadium in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. A reaction is expected from the Neapolitans. After losing to SL Benfica in the Champions League (2-0), they failed to bounce back in Serie A, losing to Udinese (1-0). Antonio Conte's team is in third place in the Italian league and is not brimming with confidence going into this highly anticipated match.

AC Milan are also coming off a major disappointment. Last weekend, the Rossoneri were held to a draw by Sassuolo at San Siro (2-2). They have relinquished their lead in Serie A to Inter Milan. Not competing in any European competitions this season and already out of the Coppa Italia, Massimiliano Allegri's men are looking to bounce back in the Italian Super Cup. They have been particularly strong against the big teams since the start of the season. On September 28, the Lombardy club managed to beat Napoli in Serie A (2-1). Will history repeat itself on Thursday evening

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Napoli vs AC Milan Form

Napoli and AC Milan Latest Matches

Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
W W D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Napoli

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Napoli

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK
D D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Nov 1, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Como 1907
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Napoli

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Napoli

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
D W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli
D D D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Napoli against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

33 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 29, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  2
Napoli

Feb 11, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

Oct 29, 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 18, 2023 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
AC Milan

Napoli - AC Milan: Form Analysis

After winning Serie A last season, Napoli knows that expectations are even higher this year. The club is competing in numerous competitions at the end of 2025. Qualified for the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia, the Neapolitan club is in the thick of the battle to reach the Champions League playoffs.

Despite its latest defeat in the Champions League against SL Benfica (2-0), it remains in the top 24 of the league phase. In Serie A, Antonio Conte's team has just suffered a blow with a 1-0 defeat to Udinese. However, it remains in third place in the standings, just two points behind Inter Milan (1st).

AC Milan beat Napoli in Serie A at the end of September (2-1).

For its part, AC Milan is coming off an extremely difficult season. The Lombardy club failed to qualify for any European competition. It hopes to take advantage of this to play a leading role in Serie A, especially after its elimination in the round of 16 of the Coppa Italia.

Unbeaten in the last 14 games of the Italian championship, the Rossoneri have just been held to a draw by Sassuolo (2-2). They have slipped to second place in the standings, one point behind Inter Milan (1st). Massimiliano Allegri's men are looking to bounce back and win the Italian Super Cup. They have reason to believe they can qualify for the final, having beaten Napoli in the league at the end of September (2-1).

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AC Milan v Napoli last Lineups

Napoli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

32
V. Milinkovic-Savic
31
S. Beukema
13
A. Rrahmani
4
A. Buongiorno
22
G. Di Lorenzo
8
S. Mctominay
20
E. Elmas
37
L. Spinazzola
7
D. Neres
19
R. Hojlund
70
N. Lang
18
C. Nkunku
11
C. Pulisic
33
D. Bartesaghi
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

A. Meret

Midfielder

K. De Bruyne

B. Gilmour

F. Anguissa

Forward

R. Lukaku

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

Y. Fofana

Forward

S. Gimenez

R. Leao

Napoli & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Napoli still have a number of players missing. Alex Meret, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, and Kevin De Bruyne are all still injured. On the bright side, Antonio Conte saw Miguel Gutierrez and Stanislav Lobotka return to action last weekend. They both played a few minutes against Udinese and are in contention for a starting spot on Thursday evening.

Romelu Lukaku, who has been out since the start of the season, could return to action. The Neapolitan club has a few key players who could make their mark in this clash. This is the case for Scott McTominay in midfield, but also for David Neres and Rasmus Hojlund in attack.

Christian Pulisic is one of the players in form in AC Milan's first half of the season.

As for AC Milan, Santiago Gimenez is expected to be out for several more months. Rafael Leao remains uncertain for the clash against Napoli, as does Matteo Gabbia, who was injured against Sassuolo. Youssouf Fofana, who has missed the Rossoneri's last three games, could return.

Massimiliano Allegri will rely in particular on a very solid defense, with Mike Maignan in goal. On the left wing, Davide Bartesaghi is taking on a new dimension, having just scored twice against Sassuolo. In midfield, the Lombard coach has plenty to choose from with Luka Modric and Adrien Rabiot. Finally, Christian Pulisic is looking to make his mark, as he is one of Serie A's top scorers with seven goals.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (2 Goals)

Napoli - AC Milan Key Points

  1. AC Milan has lost only once in its last 16 games in all competitions
  2. AC Milan has been successful against the big teams this season. In addition to beating AS Roma (1-0) and Inter Milan (0-1) in Serie A, the Lombardy club also defeated Napoli (2-1).
  3. AC Milan is in second place in Serie A, while Napoli is just behind in third.
  4. Napoli has lost its last two games in all competitions.
  5. Napoli has to cope with the absence of several key players, such as André-Frank Zambo Anguissa and Kevin De Bruyne.
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Our Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction

The Italian Super Cup kicks off with a bang with this clash between Napoli and AC Milan. What if the Rossoneri pulled off a major upset by reaching the final? They have been successful against the big teams since the start of this new season. Last September, they managed to beat Napoli (2-1). That could be the case again on Thursday evening, as they have been very difficult to beat for several weeks now.

Our prediction for Napoli vs AC Milan: AC Milan to win!

Prediction:

 

AC Milan wins

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Napoli vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Picks

Christian Pulisic Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +320
Christian Pulisic is having a great first half of the season with AC Milan. He has already scored seven goals in Serie A. The American striker will once again be eagerly awaited for this Italian Super Cup semi-final.
$500+ offered for betting!

Over 2.5 Goals

Odds +130
Over 2.5 goals were scored in the last two meetings between Napoli and AC Milan. It would not be surprising if this were to be the case again in this Italian Super Cup semifinal.
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Napoli vs AC Milan Picks