Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA Bad Homburg Open
WTA - WTA Bad Homburg Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Naomi Osaka eyes a quarterfinal seat against Elise Mertens at the 2026 Bad Homburg Open.
Osaka, who is listed at -124 in this match, defeated Mertens in their first and only meeting on grass at the 2024 Libema Open.
Current Form:
Naomi Osaka kicked off her grass-court season with a resounding win over Magdalena Frech 6-4, 6-1. Osaka, who reached the round of 16 at Roland Garros, appears to have transitioned smoothly on grass as she captured 34 return points to convert break chances against Frech.
Mertens stayed undefeated in first-round matches this year after blasting Alexandra Eala 6-3, 6-3. Mertens connected 72 percent of her first serves, winning 32 points off these serves. She also broke Eala four times off the back of 34 return points. Mertens, who also reached the second round of Libema and Berlin Open, is 3-2 on grass in 2026.
Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens are 4-4 in their head-to-head series. The former world’s No.1 Osaka opened as a slim favorite at -125, but this is a match that is hard to predict.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Form
Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 21, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 1, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 30, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 26, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 11, 2026 - WTA Rome
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 22, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 15, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 11, 2026 - WTA Libema Open
Jun 8, 2026 - WTA Libema Open
May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open
Naomi Osaka against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Aug 8, 2024 - WTA National Bank Open
Jun 11, 2024 - WTA Libema Open
Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens Key Points
- Elise Mertens holds a 45-35 record on grass.
- Elise Mertens is 4-4 vs. Naomi Osaka.
- Naomi Osaka holds a 25-20 record on grass.
- Naomi Osaka is 5-1 in second-round matches in 2026.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction
Naomi Osaka edges Elise Mertens in a three-set duel.
Osaka seems to have a little bit of an edge over Mertens just because she defeated the Belgian 6-2, 6-4 in their first and only encounter on grass.
Other than that, this match is shaping up to be a tight one, as indicated by their 4-4 head-to-head record.
Still, Osaka has posted more consistent results in recent tournaments, winning four of her last five matches on tour and compiling a solid 13-6 record this year.
Meanwhile, Mertens owns a 20-12 record but is only 3-2 in her last five games. The Belgian also bombed out in the second round of the French Open, losing to eventual runner-up Maja Chwalinska 4-6, 0-6.
There’s a good chance this will go three sets, with Osaka gutting out a razor-sharp victory.
Our betting prediction for Naomi Osaka vs. Elise Mertens: Naomi Osaka will win.
A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens!
Thanks to our code: STRADERDYW, you can unlock $250 available for use on this Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens matchup!
This offer is only available for new sign-ups, but it remains one of the highest welcome bonuses currently on offer. Take advantage before it goes away!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
