Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks
The main event on next Saturday night’s Liga MX schedule will feature the clash between Monterrey and Toluca, teams that have recently built a decent rivalry with their consecutive meetings in the two tournaments played in 2025. However, even though Toluca eliminated Monterrey in both 2025 tournaments, they couldn’t defeat them on the road.
With their history in mind, it makes sense that the bookies’ odds have made Monterrey favorites to win, but it’s notorious that their fans aren’t expected to bring them a warm welcome at BBVA Stadium. Additionally, Monterrey couldn’t renew Sergio Ramos’ contract, so it will be difficult to replace such an important defensive piece just after one month from losing the semifinal and without significant changes in the team management.
On Toluca’s side, they proved to be the best Mexican team in 2025, but the beginning of Clausura 2026 is expected to be very challenging after not having vacations. With this in mind, Antonio Mohamed has already confirmed that there could be some rotations during the first matchdays of the season to avoid any injuries to key players for Toluca and the Mexican national team.
Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel
Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
7
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
Monterrey and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 21, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 5, 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX
Monterrey against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX
May 10, 2025 - Liga MX
May 7, 2025 - Liga MX
Jan 18, 2025 - Liga MX
Monterrey against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Mele
DefenderL. Reyes
R. Chavez
V. Guzman
C. Salcedo
MidfielderI. Fimbres
C. Reyes
A. Rojas
O. Galvez
ForwardR. De la Rosa
L. Garcia
DefenderF. Pereira
V. Arteaga
J. Diaz
R. Angulo
F. Pumpido
ForwardG. Aguilera
J. Estrada
A. Alvarez
J. Arroyo
Monterrey - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- Monterrey has a nine-game unbeaten home streak, and it is worth noting that they haven’t conceded more than one goal since their 4-2 victory over FC Juarez.
- Toluca has a two-game road losing streak, and they have scored in only one of their last five road games.
- Monterrey has a two-game home winning streak in home meetings with Toluca, but they were able to score more than one goal in only two games against them since 2023.
- Toluca ended a two-game road streak, scoring two goals per game, with their most recent 1-0 loss in the first leg of the Apertura 2025 semifinal.
Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel
Our Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
Considering the context surrounding these teams, this game is expected to be a new opportunity for Monterrey to regain confidence, but it’s a fact that the outcome of the first matchdays will impact Torrent’s future.
Ultimately, even though Toluca has a very deep roster to mitigate any negative impacts in case of rotations, it should be noted that they lost very important bench players like Hector Herrera, Juan Pablo Dominguez, and Robert Morales, so rescuing a tie in this game would be a good outcome for them. Therefore, the pick for CF Monterrey – Deportivo Toluca FC is: Both Teams To Score - No!
Grab an extra $300 for your Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca FC wager!
Get ready to experience the thrill of the game with FanDuel's exciting welcome offer, available for use on the Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca FC matchup!
A minimum bet of $5 will qualify for $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins! This offer is a golden opportunity for new users. Don't miss out on this limited-time deal to enhance your sports betting experience with some extra oomph! Jump into the action today and let FanDuel take your sports engagement to the next level!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
