Missouri State Bears vs Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
10/8/25 19:30
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Prediction:

 

Missouri State -2.5

-108
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 by Tyler Doty | in NCAA Picks

Missouri State travels to Middle Tennessee looking for its first conference win as an FBS school. The Bears are in their first year at the higher level as a member of Conference USA, and so far, they’ve handled things in an acceptable manner. Missouri State hasn’t looked overwhelmed the way Massachusetts has, yet it hasn’t set the world on fire like James Madison did. The Bears have competed and have won a couple of games to date.

Against Middle Tennessee, they’re the team expected to win, and it’s easy to see why. The Bears are coming off a visit from league leader Western Kentucky, which ended in a five-point win for the Hilltoppers. The score was a bit cosmetic, given that Missouri State scored a late touchdown, but that’s still an encouraging sign for the Bears to play to a respectable loss with their new league’s top tea

Missouri State Bears vs Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
7
Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears
0.5 2 1 0 1
11
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
0 2 0 0 2

Missouri State Bears and Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Latest Matches

Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
27 :  22
Missouri State Bears

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

UT Martin Skyhawks
10 :  42
Missouri State Bears

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
28 :  10
Missouri State Bears

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
21 :  20
Marshall Herd

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
13 :  73
USC Trojans

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

South Dakota State Jackrabbits
45 :  9
Missouri State Bears
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
27 :  22
Missouri State Bears

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

UT Martin Skyhawks
10 :  42
Missouri State Bears

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
28 :  10
Missouri State Bears

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

South Dakota State Jackrabbits
45 :  9
Missouri State Bears

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Southern Illinois Salukis
17 :  38
Missouri State Bears

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Indiana State Sycamores
21 :  46
Missouri State Bears
W W W L L W
Victories

3/5 (60%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

2/5 (40%)

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
21 :  20
Marshall Herd

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
13 :  73
USC Trojans

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
21 :  59
North Dakota State Bison

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
59 :  31
Murray State Racers

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
49 :  42
Northern Iowa Panthers
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
16 :  24
Kennesaw State Owls

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Marshall Herd
42 :  28
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
14 :  13
Nevada Wolf Pack

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
10 :  42
Wisconsin Badgers

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Austin Peay Governors
34 :  14
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
24 :  35
FIU Panthers
W L L L L
Victories

0/4 (0%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

4/4 (100%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Marshall Herd
42 :  28
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Austin Peay Governors
34 :  14
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

New Mexico State Aggies
36 :  21
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Liberty Flames
37 :  17
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
16 :  24
Kennesaw State Owls

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
14 :  13
Nevada Wolf Pack

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
10 :  42
Wisconsin Badgers

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
24 :  35
FIU Panthers

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
20 :  13
UTEP Miners

Oct 23, 2024 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
20 :  42
Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Missouri State Bears - Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Key Points

  1. Missouri State has played under in four straight games.
  2. Missouri State is 3-1 ATS in its past four games overall.
  3. Middle Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its past eight games.
  4. Middle Tennessee has allowed 34 points or more in six of its past eight games.

Our Missouri State Bears vs Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Prediction

Missouri State has a clear edge in this game because of Middle Tennessee’s weak pass defense. The Blue Raiders don’t give up a lot of yards through the air, but they routinely get torched for touchdowns. With 13 allowed this season, Middle Tennessee has allowed the most scores through the air of any school in C-USA.

Although Middle has thrown the ball well at times, the Blue Raiders don’t run well at all, making them highly one-dimensional. Missouri State cashes multiple unders because it plays defense well enough to slow down better attacks than that of Middle Tennessee. With the game flow likely to favor Missouri State on both sides of the ball, it seems likely that the Bears will have little trouble exposing holes in the Blue Raiders’ defense.

Our prediction for Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee is: Missouri State -2.5.

Prediction:

 

Missouri State -2.5

-108
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Missouri State Bears vs Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Picks