Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
10/4/25 19:30
Texas A&M Aggies

Prediction:

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5 Alternate Spread

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 by Matt Lowrimore in NCAA Picks

One of the most intriguing games on the Week 6 Saturday college football slate will see the Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the 6th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies in the SEC. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Bulldogs and the Aggies.

Mississippi State enters this game with a record of 4-1 and 0-1 in the SEC. The Bulldogs most recently lost to the Tennessee Volunteers in Week 5 by a score of 41-34 in overtime. Mississippi State’s offense had a total of 378 yards, while its defense allowed 466 yards. Quarterback Blake Shapen threw for 180 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while running back Fluff Bothwell led the team in rushing with 134 yards and two touchdowns.

As for Texas A&M, they enter this game with a record of 4-0 and 1-0 in the SEC. The Aggies most recently beat the Auburn Tigers in Week 5 by a score of 16-10. Texas A&M’s offense had a total of 414 yards, while its defense allowed 177 yards. Quarterback Marcel Reed threw for 180 yards and one interception, while running back Le’Veon Moss led the team in rushing with 139 yards and one touchdown.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
2
Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies
1 1 1 0 0
14
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 1 0 0 1

Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas A&M Aggies Latest Matches

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
41 :  34
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Northern Illinois Huskies
10 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Alcorn State Braves
0 :  63
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Arizona State Sun Devils
20 :  24
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
34 :  17
Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Nov 29, 2024 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
14 :  26
Ole Miss Rebels
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
41 :  34
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Northern Illinois Huskies
10 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Alcorn State Braves
0 :  63
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Arizona State Sun Devils
20 :  24
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
39 :  20
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

UMass Minutemen
20 :  45
Mississippi State Bulldogs
L L L L W
Victories

1/4 (25%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

3/4 (75%)

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
34 :  17
Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Nov 29, 2024 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
14 :  26
Ole Miss Rebels

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
14 :  33
Tennessee Volunteers

Oct 12, 2024 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
31 :  41
Georgia Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
10 :  16
Texas A&M Aggies

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
41 :  40
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Utah State Aggies
22 :  44
Texas A&M Aggies

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

UTSA Roadrunners
24 :  42
Texas A&M Aggies

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
17 :  7
Texas A&M Aggies
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
10 :  16
Texas A&M Aggies

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Utah State Aggies
22 :  44
Texas A&M Aggies

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

UTSA Roadrunners
24 :  42
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
17 :  7
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

New Mexico State Aggies
3 :  38
Texas A&M Aggies

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
23 :  38
Texas A&M Aggies
W L L L W
Victories

2/5 (40%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

3/5 (60%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
41 :  40
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
41 :  43
Auburn Tigers

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
20 :  44
South Carolina Gamecocks

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
34 :  24
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs against Texas A&M Aggies : Head to Head (H2H)

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
34 :  24
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs - Texas A&M Aggies Key Points

  1. Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS this season
  2. Mississippi State is averaging 39.8 points per game this season
  3. Texas A&M is averaging 35.8 points per game this season
  4. Texas A&M is 1-3 ATS this season

Our Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction

The Bulldogs have looked vastly improved this season and nearly upset Tennessee last week at home. They now travel to Texas A&M to take on a tough Aggies team that is looking to remain unbeaten.

Despite their undefeated record, the Aggies have failed to cover the spread in three of their four games, whereas the Bulldogs have covered the spread in all of their games. As mentioned, Mississippi State just narrowly lost to Tennessee, whose offense is arguably more explosive than Texas A&M’s. 

Both teams have excellent rushing attacks, which could indicate that this game could be back and forth. For that reason, our Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies prediction is: Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5 Alternate Spread.

Prediction:

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5 Alternate Spread

-122
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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Picks