Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Washington Nationals
5/5/26 18:45
Minnesota Twins

Prediction:

 

The Nationals -1.5 Runs

+175
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

Sporting a 2.40 ERA over their last five games, the Washington Nationals will attempt to outpitch the Minnesota Twins, who have averaged 2.0 runs per game in their last three meetings.

Current Form:

The Washington Nationals will resume their home stand on Tuesday with a new series against the Minnesota Twins. The Nats dodged a series sweep after they edged the Milwaukee Brewers 3-2 in the finale on May 3.

The Twins split their four-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays after winning Games 1 and 4. At 15-20, Minnesota sits at the bottom of the American League Central division standings.

The Matchup: The Nationals have won 6 of their last 10 meetings with the Twins. Out of these six wins, Washington won by at least two runs five times.

Stats Over the Last 5 Games: The Nationals have posted a 2.40 ERA and averaged 4.9 runs per game over their last five games. The Twins have registered a 4.80 ERA and batted .238 with 4.4 runs per game over the last five games.

Starting Pitchers: Twins RHP Taj Bradley (3-1, 2.85 ERA) vs. Nationals RHP Cade Cavalli (1-1, 3.82 ERA).

The Twins have lost in Bradley’s last three starts, in which the pitcher has surrendered 16 hits and 10 earned runs over 19 innings pitched. Cade Cavalli earned a win after giving up 2 earned runs over 6 innings in a 14-2 win by Washington over the New York Mets on April 29. Cavalli has recorded back-to-back starts with 10 strikeouts.

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Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Washington Nationals
0.5 84 42 42
22 Minnesota Twins
0.464 84 39 45

Washington Nationals and Minnesota Twins Latest Matches

Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  14
Washington Nationals

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  0
Washington Nationals
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  7
Atlanta Braves

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  8
Atlanta Braves

Apr 21, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
11 :  4
Atlanta Braves
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  14
Washington Nationals

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  2
Washington Nationals

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  6
Washington Nationals

Apr 24, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
5 :  4
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  5
Seattle Mariners

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  7
Seattle Mariners
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  5
Seattle Mariners

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  7
Seattle Mariners
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  1
Minnesota Twins

Apr 24, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Apr 21, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Washington Nationals against Minnesota Twins : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Nationals

67 %

Minnesota Twins

33 %

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  7
Washington Nationals

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  9
Washington Nationals

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  0
Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals - Minnesota Twins Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
  2. Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games against Washington.
  3. Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
  4. Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
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Our Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Nationals roll into the series opener with the Twins as a solid pick to cover -1.5 runs. Apart from their head-to-head dominance, winning 6 out of 10 games, the Nats have posted impressive numbers on the mound with a 2.40 ERA over the last five games.

Cade Cavalli, who struck out 10 batters in back-to-back starts, should feel good about his chance to tame the Twins’ offense that has generated only 2.0 runs per game over the last three matches with the Nats. Twins starter Taj Bradley blanked the Nats in his first and lone start against the latter in 2024. However, this year’s Nationals are a much different squad than the one he faced two years ago.

Our betting prediction for the Minnesota Twins vs. the Washington Nationals: The Nationals -1.5 Runs

Prediction:

 

The Nationals -1.5 Runs

+175
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Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Picks