Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5/10/26 13:40
Minnesota Twins

Prediction:

 

The Guardians will win

-165
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Cleveland Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with the Minnesota Twins.

Posted as -163 moneyline favorites for Sunday’s Game 3, the Guardians will send Gavin Williams to the mound to take advantage of the matchup against rookie Andrew Morris, who is set for his first career start in the majors.

Momentum:

The Minnesota Twins earned their first win in four games after edging the Cleveland Guardians, 2-1, in an 11-inning contest on Saturday. After surrendering 28 runs over the last three games, the Guardians put on a near-flawless pitching display against Minnesota, surrendering one run, two hits, and nine walks.

On the flipside, the result in Game 2 has ended the Guardians’ three-game winning streak. Cleveland did a fine job containing Minnesota’s offense by allowing two earned runs, but they did not expect that Joe Ryan and the Twins' bullpen would outpitch them in that game.

Starting Pitchers:

Twins RHP Andrew Morris (1-1, 4.96 ERA): Morris is set to make his first career start after coming off the bullpen on eight occasions this year. Taken 114th overall in the 2022 MLB Draft, Morris had spent the last four years in the minors before he got the promotion to the majors following the injury to Cody Laweryson.

Guardians RHP Gavin Williams (5-2, 3.28 ERA): For the second time in three starts, Williams surrendered at least five runs in a game. The Guardians pitcher gave up 5 earned runs and eight hits over six innings in a 3-5 loss to the Kansas City Royals on May 5. Two weeks ago, Williams yielded six runs over six innings in an 8-6 win over the Toronto Blue Jays on April 24.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
12 Cleveland Guardians
0.518 83 43 40
22 Minnesota Twins
0.464 84 39 45

Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins Latest Matches

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  2
Cleveland Guardians
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  2
Houston Astros
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
6 :  14
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  5
Minnesota Twins

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
15 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  11
Minnesota Twins

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 30, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  5
Seattle Mariners

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  7
Seattle Mariners
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  5
Minnesota Twins

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
15 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  11
Minnesota Twins

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Cleveland Guardians against Minnesota Twins : Head to Head (H2H)

Cleveland Guardians

67 %

Minnesota Twins

33 %

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
0 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
0 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians - Minnesota Twins Key Points

  1. Cleveland is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
  2. Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games.
  3. Minnesota is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games against Cleveland.
  4. Minnesota is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
Up to $250 to bet on Cleveland Guardians - Minnesota Twins! 

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Our Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Cleveland has dominated the head-to-head series with Minnesota, except for the last three meetings, in which the Twins took two of three.

Guardians starter Gavin Williams is searching for consistency after two horrendous outings in his last three starts. Although Williams has posted terrific numbers in his last two starts against Minnesota, surrendering one earned run over 12 innings, he will still need enough run support from the Guardians’ batting lineup to outgun the Twins’ offense that averages almost 5 runs per game.

Morris has been serviceable in a small role coming off the Twins’ bullpen this season. However, Morris’ caliber as a pitcher will be tested for the first time against the Guardians, who are averaging 4.2 runs per game. Cleveland’s offense isn’t as explosive as that of the other dynamic teams, but they can rack up runs in a flurry, especially if they can get a hot start.

Our betting prediction for the Minnesota Twins vs. the Cleveland Guardians: The Guardians will win.

Prediction:

 

The Guardians will win

-165
$250 offered for betting!

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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Picks