Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
5/22/25 20:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5

-114
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks

Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will take place on Thursday in Oklahoma City. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions to see if the Timberwolves can even up the series or if the Thunder will defend home court with another win.

Minnesota enters this game having been blown out in Game 1 of this series on Tuesday, losing by a score of 114-88. The Timberwolves started this game on fire and even took a lead into halftime, but were overwhelmed in the second half. Only two players for Minnesota scored in double figures, that being Anthony Edwards with 18 points and Julius Randle, who scored a team-high 28 points.

As for Oklahoma City, they now have the chance to really put the pressure on Minnesota. After a poor first half, the Thunder outscored the Timberwolves 70-40 in the second half to comfortably win. The Thunder had four of their five starters score in double figures, including Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 31 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  121
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  97
Golden State Warriors

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
93 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  121
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
93 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 27, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
113 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
105 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  97
Golden State Warriors

Apr 30, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
85 :  94
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  95
Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans

Minnesota Timberwolves against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Timberwolves

50 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
131 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
130 :  123
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
101 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 31, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
105 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 29, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
107 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder: Form Analysis

To get to this point, Minnesota beat the Los Angeles Lakers in the first round of the playoffs in five games, before beating the Golden State Warriors in the second round also in five games. The Timberwolves are averaging 106.4 points per game (9th) in the playoffs, while allowing 102.3 points per game (2nd).

“Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging a staggering 29.2 points per game in the postseason and has fueled the Thunder’s playoff run up to this point.”

Oklahoma City crushed the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round, beating them in four games, before needing seven games to get past the Denver Nuggets in the second round. Up to this point, the Thunder are averaging 116.8 points per game (3rd) in the postseason, while allowing 102.8 points per game (3rd).

Minnesota Timberwolves & Oklahoma City Thunder Squad Analysis

The Thunder have no real injury concerns heading into Game 2 as they look to follow up their dominant Game 1 performance. Oklahoma City also had four players score in double figures in Game 1 and looked much more balanced with any of these players looking as if they could take over a game.

“Both teams are fully healthy as they look for the decisive edge in Game 2 of this Western Conference Finals series.”

After a small scare with Anthony Edwards briefly leaving in Game 1 against the Thunder, the Timberwolves look to be fully healthy for Game 2, something they must lean on if they want to even up the series.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Thunder are 6-1 SU at home this postseason
  2. The Thunder are 5-2 ATS at home this postseason
  3. Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.7 points per game this postseason
  4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.2 points per game this postseason

Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

There is no arguing that the Thunder started slowly in Game 1, but this may have been because they were coming off a long and grueling series against the Denver Nuggets in the days prior. 

Despite the slow start, the Thunder flexed their muscles in the second half and were nearly perfect. Game 2 could very well have the same feel, with the Timberwolves taking an early lead before the Thunder come charging back. 

The Timberwolves had a huge problem getting production from players not named Anthony Edwards or Julius Randle in Game 1, while the Thunder had a much more balanced scoring night. 

Add in the fact that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander just won NBA MVP and is by far the best player on the floor and our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5.

Prediction:

 

Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5

-114
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Other Interesting Picks

Julius Randle Over 19.5 Points

Odds -104

Our second prediction for Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals will target Julius Randle from the Minnesota Timberwolves to go over his points total. While Anthony Edwards has been the leading scorer for the Timberwolves for most of the season, Randle has not been far behind. 

In the playoffs, Randle is averaging 24.3 points per game, the second-leading scorer on the team. Randle has scored at least 20 points in nine of the 11 playoff games for the Timberwolves, including his last five games in a row. He scored 28 points against the Thunder in Game 1 of the series, so with the Thunder looking to lock down defensively on Edwards, our second Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is: Julius Randle Over 19.5 Points.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks