Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks - WNBA
USA - WNBA
Prediction:
Over 155.5
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by Erik Gibbs | in WNBA Picks
The Minnesota Lynx and Seattle Storm are set to clash in a pivotal Commissioner’s Cup matchup today, marking the fourth game of the in-season tournament for both squads. The Lynx enter this contest with a perfect 9-0 record, standing as one of only two undefeated teams in the WNBA this season, alongside the New York Liberty. Their impressive form has positioned them at the top of the Commissioner’s Cup standings in the Western Conference, and they are looking to extend both their regular season and Cup dominance.
Minnesota has been a defensive powerhouse so far this year. They are holding opponents to just 73.8 points per game, which ranks second in the league. Their stingy defense has also limited opposing teams to just 39.4% shooting from the field, another mark that places them second overall.
Perhaps most impressively, the Lynx have been suffocating from the perimeter, allowing a league-best 27.8% from three-point range. This defensive intensity was on full display in their most recent game, an 81-65 rout of the Dallas Wings.
The Storm, meanwhile, sit just behind the Lynx in the Commissioner’s Cup standings at 2-1. However, they’ve had a rockier overall season with a 5-4 record. Seattle will be looking to bounce back against Minnesota, especially after falling short in their previous meeting on May 27, when the Lynx edged out a 82-77 victory. That loss continued a troubling trend for the Storm, who have now dropped four of their last five matchups against Minnesota.
Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.773 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 1 |
|
7
|
0.523 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 1 |
Seattle Storm and Minnesota Lynx Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2024 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 19, 2025 - WNBA
May 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 24, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 23, 2025 - WNBA
May 21, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 18, 2024 - WNBA
Oct 16, 2024 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 18, 2025 - WNBA
May 16, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 20, 2024 - WNBA
Seattle Storm against Minnesota Lynx : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 12, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 9, 2024 - WNBA
May 17, 2024 - WNBA
Players list
S. Diggins-Smith
E. Wheeler
ForwardE. Magbegor
N. Ogwumike
G. Williams
C. Williams
K. McBride
ForwardA. Smith
N. Collier
B. Carleton
Substitutes
Z. Cooke
L. Brown
ForwardA. Clark
K. Samuelson
D. Miller
K. Samuelson
N. Hiedeman
ForwardA. Pili
A. Kosu
Seattle Storm - Minnesota Lynx Key Points
- The Lynx are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
- The Storm are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games
- The Over is 6-2 in the Lynx's last 8 games
- The Over is 4-2 in the Storm's last 6 games
Our Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction
Seattle’s defense has held up relatively well, conceding 78.9 points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. However, opponents are shooting 42.7% against them — a figure that ranks just seventh and could be problematic against a Lynx team that capitalizes on efficiency and discipline.
Adding to their challenges, the Storm are still missing Katie Lou Samuelson due to a torn ACL, and their offensive depth remains a concern. If Minnesota can neutralize Skylar Diggins-Smith, Seattle could struggle to generate enough offense to keep pace.
The Lynx will once again be without forward Jessica Shepard, who is currently representing Slovenia in EuroBasket. Nonetheless, with a defense this formidable and momentum clearly on their side, Minnesota appears poised to continue their dominant run. A win today would not only keep their perfect season alive but also solidify their grip on the top spot in the Commissioner’s Cup race. Our prediction for Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: Lynx to win.
Prediction:
Over 155.5
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