Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
7/9/25 15:30
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Lynx (-8.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx (17-2) visit the Phoenix Mercury (13-6) on July 9, Wednesday, at the Footprint Center. 

This is the third time that the Lynx and the Mercury will face each other this season. The Lynx have won the first two games, including a dominating 88-65 victory on June 3. Napheesa Collier and Natisha Hiedeman led Minnesota with 18 points apiece in that win over Phoenix.

The Lynx have also won eight of their last nine games, including their last five games. They currently rank first in both offensive and defensive rating, establishing their status as the best team in the league right now. 

Collier leads the pack with an all-around stat line of 24.3 points, 8.0 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 1.6 steals, and 1.5 blocks. She's currently the frontrunner for the Most Valuable Player award this year.

On the other hand, the Mercury are thriving by having above average offense and defense. Their win-loss slate is still the second-best in the WNBA, but they have lost two of their last three games. 

It also doesn't help that the Mercury are missing key players right now. Satou Sabally, who is leading the team with 19.1 points, is nursing an ankle injury. Their second-leading scorer, Kahleah Cooper, will also miss the game due to a hamstring injury.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
0.857 21 18 3 1
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.7 20 14 6 2

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
75 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
71 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
75 :  92
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 1, 2025 - WNBA Commissioner Cup

Indiana Fever
74 :  59
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
63 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
96 :  92
Atlanta Dream
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
75 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
71 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
75 :  92
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 1, 2025 - WNBA Commissioner Cup

Indiana Fever
74 :  59
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
63 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
66 :  82
Minnesota Lynx
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
96 :  92
Atlanta Dream

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
64 :  68
Washington Mystics

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
84 :  94
Seattle Storm

Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  65
Dallas Wings

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  75
Golden State Valkyries

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
72 :  102
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  86
Phoenix Mercury
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  98
Dallas Wings

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

100 %

Phoenix Mercury

0 %

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 28, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
60 :  73
Minnesota Lynx

Players list

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
K. McBride C. Williams B. Carleton A. Smith N. Collier
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack M. Akoa-Makani S. Whitcomb K. Westbeld A. Thomas

Substitutes

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
M. Vadeeva K. Samuelson N. Hiedeman D. Miller A. Pili A. Kosu J. Shepard
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown L. Held K. Laksa K. Williams D. Bonner K. Copper S. Sabally

Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Lynx have won their first two games against the Mercury this season.
  2. The Mercury are missing Satou Sabally and Kahleah Cooper.
  3. The Lynx have a better offensive and defensive rating than the Mercury.
  4. The Lynx have won their last five games.

Our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

The Lynx are on a roll, and they are all healthy and available. They've won their last five games, with Natasha Collier leading the pack with her do-it-all skill set.

Meanwhile, the Mercury are missing Satou Sabally and Kahleah Cooper, two of their leading scorers. The short-handed Mercury squad are at a big disadvantage, and might lose three games in a row to the Lynx. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx match is: Lynx (-8.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Lynx (-8.5) cover the spread

-110
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks