Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
8/19/25 19:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Less than 165.5 goals

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs | in WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx are set for their second straight clash on Tuesday in what is shaping up to be another key battle with playoff positioning on the line. The two teams met recently, with the Lynx coming out on top 86-80 despite playing without Napheesa Collier, while the Liberty were missing Breanna Stewart.

That defeat carried heavy implications for New York, who slid from second to third in the standings, while Minnesota further cemented its hold on the top spot. The Lynx are now riding a six-game winning streak and have captured eight of their last nine overall.

The Liberty, meanwhile, are stumbling at a crucial juncture. They have dropped three of their last four contests and now sit third, just a half-game ahead of Phoenix and Las Vegas with six games left in the regular season.

Head-to-head, the contests have swung between defensive battles and shootouts. The first matchup produced 193 combined points, the second dropped to 154, and the most recent finished at 166. Minnesota has scored at least 83 points multiple times in the series while limiting New York to 80 or fewer on two occasions, a pattern that reflects the current gap between the squads.

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
0.773 44 34 10 1
2
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.614 44 27 17 3

Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
76 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  87
Seattle Storm

Aug 2, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
111 :  58
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
93 :  100
Minnesota Lynx
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
76 :  80
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
93 :  100
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  109
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
68 :  91
Minnesota Lynx
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  87
Seattle Storm

Aug 2, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
111 :  58
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  78
Chicago Sky

Jul 12, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  87
Chicago Sky

Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
91 :  82
L.a. Sparks
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
105 :  97
L.a. Sparks

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  77
Dallas Wings

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  85
New York Liberty
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  85
New York Liberty

Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
101 :  99
New York Liberty

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
84 :  98
New York Liberty

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
77 :  98
New York Liberty
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
105 :  97
L.a. Sparks

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  77
Dallas Wings

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
87 :  78
Connecticut Sun

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
62 :  78
Connecticut Sun

Minnesota Lynx against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

67 %

New York Liberty

33 %

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
93 :  100
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 20, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
62 :  67
New York Liberty

Oct 18, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 16, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  77
Minnesota Lynx

Players list

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
C. Williams K. McBride J. Shepard B. Carleton A. Smith
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones N. Cloud S. Ionescu L. Fiebich E. Meesseman

Substitutes

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
M. Vadeeva D. Carrington N. Hiedeman J. Sherrod N. Collier C. Taylor A. Kosu
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
N. Sabally K. Burke M. Johannes R. Gardner B. Stewart I. Harrison S. Talbot

Minnesota Lynx - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The Liberty are 4-6 without Breanna Stewart
  2. The Lynx are 11-4 in their last 15 away games
  3. The Lynx are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. The Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games

Our Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction

Minnesota enters this matchup averaging 89.7 points per game on an efficient 47% shooting clip. Their defense has also been sharp, allowing only 78.2 points per game on 42% shooting from opponents. Even without Collier, Aubrey Griffin, and Dorka Juhasz, the Lynx have maintained balance and found production across the roster. Their ability to both score in the mid-80s and hold down elite offenses like New York’s has been the defining edge in this series.

New York is scoring 89.1 points per game on 45.6% shooting, but their defense has been far more vulnerable, giving up 84.1 points per game. Compounding matters, they are dealing with a lengthy injury list: Raquel Carrera, Ivana Dojkic, Betnijah Laney-Hamilton, Seehia Ridard, Nyara Sabally, Annika Soltau, and Stewart are all sidelined.

The Liberty have been trending downward offensively, often falling into the 70s lately, with Sabrina Ionescu cooling off after her strong start to the season. In contrast, Minnesota has remained steady in the mid-80s range, consistently generating enough offense to cover Collier’s absence.

With momentum, depth, and confidence all on their side, the Lynx look well-positioned to extend their winning streak. Even shorthanded, Minnesota has proven resilient, while New York’s injuries and recent form suggest another tough night ahead. If the trends hold, the Lynx should be favored to collect another victory and continue building separation at the top of the standings. Our prediction for New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: Lynx and Under 165.5.

Prediction:

 

Less than 165.5 goals

-110
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Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Picks