San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The San Antonio Spurs and Milwaukee Bucks meet on Thursday with the teams arriving in very different places in the standings. San Antonio is 27-13 and has spent most of the season playing at a top-of-the-West pace, which is usually a sign the baseline is strong even when the schedule turns demanding. Their most recent result was a 119-98 loss at Oklahoma City, a game that got away from them as the night went on, but one defeat does not erase the steadiness they have shown across four months.
In general, the Spurs have avoided long losing streaks and have routinely responded to setbacks with solid follow-up performances, which is a big part of why they have stayed near the top of the conference.
Milwaukee comes in at 17-23, and their recent run has been defined by inconsistency on both ends. The Bucks have taken close losses, but they have also had games where the margin widened quickly, making the final quarter less competitive than they would have wanted.
A 139-106 home loss to Minnesota stands out as a rough defensive night, and a 108-104 loss at Denver showed how thin the margin can be when they are forced to execute in the half court late. Overall, their recent results suggest a team that can look dangerous one night and flat the next, which has made it difficult for them to climb the East standings.
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San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.756 | 82 | 62 | 20 |
|
21
|
0.39 | 82 | 32 | 50 |
San Antonio Spurs and Milwaukee Bucks Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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San Antonio Spurs against Milwaukee Bucks : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jan 31, 2025 - NBA
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Players list
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
H. Barnes
A. Green
R. Rollins
G. Antetokounmpo
Substitutes
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
J. Sochan
C. Bryant
G. Harris
C. Anthony
P. Nance
T. Antetokounmpo
B. Portis
K. Kuzma
San Antonio Spurs - Milwaukee Bucks Key Points
- The Over is 4-0 in the Bucks’ last 4 games vs. Southwest Division teams
- The underdogs are 3-0 in the Bucks’ last 3 games
- The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games after a loss
- The Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
San Antonio's edge starts with Victor Wembanyama, who leads the Spurs at 24.0 points and 11.0 rebounds per game while also averaging 2.7 blocks. De'Aaron Fox has been a major second engine, posting 20.5 points and 5.8 assists per game, and his ability to push pace selectively gives San Antonio a way to create easier looks without taking unnecessary risks. The Spurs can also lean on Stephon Castle's playmaking, as he averages 6.8 assists, which helps keep the offense organized when the game tightens late.
For Milwaukee, the headline is Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is posting 29.1 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game and remains the engine for almost everything they do. Kevin Porter Jr. has been the most significant secondary creator, averaging 18.0 points and 7.7 assists, and his playmaking becomes especially important when defenses load up on Giannis and force the ball out of his hands. Milwaukee also gets rim protection from Myles Turner, who leads the team at 1.5 blocks per game, but the Bucks still need to be sharper for longer stretches.
Given the records, recent results, and home-court factor, San Antonio looks more reliable over four quarters. Milwaukee can keep it close if they limit turnovers and avoid extended cold spells, but the Spurs have the more consistent profile right now and should have the cleaner late-game execution. Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs. Milwaukee Bucks: Over 226.5 points.
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