Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila in NBA Picks
After weeks of grueling battles that match the intensity of playoff basketball, the Milwaukee Bucks and the Oklahoma City Thunder will contest for the coveted Emirates NBA Cup title in a winner-take-all match on Tuesday in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Bucks have won their last three games, including the quarterfinal and semifinal matches of the NBA Cup. Powered by Giannis Antetokounmpo’s all-around brilliance, Milwaukee defeated the Orlando Magic 114-109 and the Atlanta Hawks 110-102 to punch their ticket to the championship match. The Thunder are also playing on a high level recently, winning each of their last five games by double-digit margins. Oklahoma City’s dominance is a product of their tenacious defense and well-structured offense centered around their dynamic scorer Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Thunder rank in the top 10 in points per game (115.6 points) and share the No.1 spot with the Magic for the lowest points allowed per game (103.5).
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks Latest Matches
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Oklahoma City Thunder against Milwaukee Bucks : Head to Head (H2H)
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks: Form Analysis
After back-to-back loss to the Hawks 104-119 and Boston 105-111, the Bucks have won their last three games, besting Brooklyn 118-113, Orlando 114-109 and Atlanta 110-102. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the top-scorer for the Bucks in the last three games, averaging 34.3 points per game. The Thunder have won their last five assignments, beating Dallas 118-104 in the NBA Cup quarterfinals and Houston 111-96 in the semifinals. Shai Gilgeous Alexander has scored at least 30 points in OKC’s last four games.
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Players list
I. Joe
L. Dort
D. Lillard
G. Antetokounmpo
T. Prince
Substitutes
A. Mitchell
C. Wallace
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
D. Jones
A. Green
R. Rollins
A. Johnson
D. Wright
P. Connaughton
M. Beauchamp
C. Livingston
B. Portis
T. Smith
Oklahoma City Thunder & Milwaukee Bucks Squad Analysis
Damian Lillard and Khris Middleton are listed as probable for Tuesday's game after skipping Monday's team practice. Giannis Antetokounmpo is going to be the marked man on the Bucks, averaging 32.7 ppg, 11.5 rpg, and 6.1 ppg. As for the Thunder, Chet Holmgren remains out because of a hamstring injury. OKC will also be missing some frontcourt depth as Jaylin Williams and Ousmane Dieng are listed out due to injuries. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the player to watch for OKC, alongside dynamic third-year forward Jalen Williams, who scores 21.7 ppg on 50 FG%.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks Key Points
- The Bucks are 8-2 in their last 10 games
- The Thunder are 9-1 in their last 10 games.
- The Bucks are 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings with the Thunder
- The Thunder defeated the Bucks 125-107 in their last meeting.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
The Bucks have won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with the Thunder. However, the last encounter between these two elite ball clubs saw the Thunder slaughter the Bucks by 18 points, 125-107. Having this game played in a neutral environment makes predicting the outcome of this match even trickier. But if I were to pick the winner of this matchup, I would go with the Thunder. OKC has gone through a tougher bracket than Milwaukee, earning their spot in the championship match by beating Dallas by 14 points and Houston by 15 points. Meanwhile, the Bucks barely squeaked past a Magic team that had lost their two leading scorers, Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, to injuries. They also engaged in a toe-to-toe battle with the Hawks before pulling away in the final five minutes of the game.
Our betting prediction for the Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Thunder will win.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks - Other Interesting Picks
Total Under 214.5 points
The total has gone Under in six of OKC’s last 10 games. They are a tenacious defensive team that takes pride in holding their opponents below the century mark. In fact, OKC has held four opponents under 100 points in the last 10 games and 9 of their last 10 opponents under 110 points. That’s how dominant OKC has been on the defensive end of the floor. On the other hand, the OVER has hit six times in the Bucks’ last 10 games. Milwaukee averages 113.5 points per game, which puts them in the middle of the pack in that category. Moreover, the physicality of this championship match will be much higher than any regular-season games, so you have to expect a Game 7-like atmosphere on Sunday. Game officials will more likely call fewer fouls and let the players decide the outcome.
Our betting prediction for OKC Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks: Total Under 214.5 points.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 40+ on points + rebounds + assists.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored at least 30 points in the last four games and 8 of his last 9 games. This season, Alexander ranks fourth in the league at 30.3 points per game on 51.0 FG%. However, in two games vs. the Bucks last season, the OKC star averaged 17.5 points on 36.4%. The Bucks understand that they need to hold Gilgeous-Alexander below his season average for them to have a better chance of winning the match. However, the Bucks must not forget that Gilgeous-Alexander is more than a scorer. He can impact the game in so many ways with his passing and rebounding. The dude is averaging 6.3 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game this season, so you know he can still stuff the stats sheet without pouring 30+ points.
Our betting prediction for the OKC Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks: Gilgeous-Alexander 40+ on points + rebounds + assists.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
