Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
One win from the crown, the Milwaukee Brewers enter Game 4 as solid -142 to complete a sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays in the World Series.
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The Milwaukee Brewers have won the first three games of the series and will go for a sweep on Tuesday. After grinding out close wins in Game 1 (3-2) and Game 2 (5-4), the Brewers blew out the Rays 10-1 behind an 8-0 run blast in the 5th inning. Brice Turang and Cooper Pratt led the charge with 2 RBIs each, while Christian Yelich, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, Garrett Mitchell, Sal Frelick, and David Hamilton drove in a run each.
Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Rays are in danger of being on the receiving end of a World Series if they don’t win Game 4. The Rays entered the championship series as baseball's most well-rounded team. However, the Brewers outplayed them in clutch moments and exposed their defensive loopholes in Game 3. Freddy Peralta, who had not surrendered more than 1 run in four postseason appearances this year, gave up 5 runs over 4.2 innings.
Starting Pitchers: Brewers (undecided) vs. Rays RHP Griffin Jax (0-1, 6.00 ERA).
The Matchup: The Brewers have won the last 5 meetings with the Rays and 6 of the last 7.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Form
Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches
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Tampa Bay Rays against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)
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Tampa Bay Rays - Milwaukee Brewers: Form Analysis
The Brewers have boasted a .272/.360/.406 batting slash with 11 home runs and 50 RBIs in the postseason. They also have the second-best ERA in October at 2.02 in 11 games.
Again, the Brewers are on an 8-game losing streak and have lost only once during this postseason run.
The Rays have posted a .224/.313/.336 batting line with 7 home runs and 40 RBIs in 12 games. On the mound, Tampa Bay owns the 6th-best ERA in this postseason at 3.51.
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Tampa Bay Rays & Milwaukee Brewers Squad Analysis
Brewers catcher William Contreras has established himself as the World Series MVP front-runner after recording 7 hits in this series. Contreras is batting .419 with 18 hits and 8 RBIs in the postseason.
Jackson Chourio has also raised his game in this series, particularly in Game 3, where he went 4-for-5 with 1 RBI.
For the Rays, Junior Casimero has hit .256 with 11 hits and 5 RBIs in the postseason. Designated hitter Yandy Diaz has gone 2-for-13 with 1 RBI in this World Series.
Tampa Bay Rays - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points
- The Brewers have posted a 2.40 ERA over the last 5 games.
- The Brewers have averaged 6.3 runs over the last 5 games.
- The Rays have averaged 3.5 runs over the last 5 games.
- The Rays have posted a 4.50 ERA over the last 5 games.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Difference Maker: The Brewers have won their last 8 games and 10 of 11 postseason games this year. Plenty of metrics and good things point to the Brewers’ historic postseason run, but one undeniable truth stands out: they are destined to win the crown this year.
What to Expect: The Brewers sweep the Rays to capture the 2026 World Series title. Closing out Tampa Bay won’t be easy. The Rays will test the Brewers’ mental fortitude from start to finish. But beyond the stats and individual greatness, Milwaukee’s hustle and clutch culture have become the ultimate game-changer this October.
Tampa Bay understands by now that a slim lead won’t be safe against the Brewers. The Rays badly need a strong start, or else this is a wrap.
Fearless Forecast: The Brewers 3, the Rays 2
Our betting prediction for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: The Brewers win
Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers - Other Interesting Picks
Under 7.0 Runs
Expect Tampa Bay to use every able player on its pitching staff to halt the Brewers’ coronation. Griffin Jax gets the nod to start Game 4, but Drew Rasmussen and Nick Martinez will take the mound if the Rays feel they need more pitching firepower to keep their season alive. One thing is for sure: the Rays won't let the Game 3 pitching disaster happen again. They will try to keep the score as low and tight as possible, but that still doesn’t guarantee a win in Game 4.
Williams Contreras +2 Hits
William Contreras has recorded at least two hits in each of the first three games in this World Series. DraftKings offers Contreras at +261 if he gets two or more hits in Game 4, which isn't a long shot given his terrific postseason contact rate.
Contreras has gone 7-for-13 (.538) and hasn't struck out more than twice in any of the first three games.
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