Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9/16/26 18:40
Milwaukee Brewers

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5

−105
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 by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to stay on top of the NL Central and pick up another win over the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. It will be the 2nd game of their 3-game series, and this is the 1st series of their 3-city road trip.

In game one, the Brewers used a 4-run 6th inning to take a commanding 5-0 lead that they would never relinquish. Jacob Misiorowski pitched 5 innings of scoreless work. He finished with 7 strikeouts and allowed just 5 hits. Luis Lara and Joey Ortiz combined to go 4-for-7 with 2 doubles and 4 RBIs in the 5-1 Milwaukee win.

Pittsburgh had been off to a decent start this month. They won 7 of their 1st 9 games, but have since lost 3 of their last 4. However, they have been keeping the scoring to a minimum and have relied on their pitching to keep them in the games. They are hoping that Jared Jones can do that tonight as he takes the start for the Pirates. He will likely need to be tough as the run support is not likely to be much.

Logan Henderson will start for Milwaukee and is 10-3 on the year. His 2.34 ERA is one of the top in the league, and he is coming off 5 shutout innings in his last start, which came against the Cubs.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Milwaukee Brewers
0.636 162 103 59
13 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.506 162 82 80

Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
12 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 10, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  0
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  6
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  0
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  2
San Francisco Giants

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
San Francisco Giants
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
12 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 10, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
13 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
20 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
13 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
20 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
12 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  9
Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh Pirates against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

33 %

Milwaukee Brewers

67 %

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 6, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 3, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
14 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points

  1. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  2. Under is 6-0 in Jones' last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  3. Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games.
  4. Under is 2-0 in Brewers last 2 games.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Both teams rank in the top 5 in combined batting average and total runs scored this season. However, the total is just 7.5 for this matchup. We believe it is low because both starting pitchers should have strong outings. Jones comes into this start having gone 13 innings of shutout work. Henderson has only allowed 5 total runs in his last 35 innings of work.  We like both pitchers and their bullpens to keep this one from going over the total.

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers: Under 7.5

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5

−105
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