Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9/5/25 18:40
Milwaukee Brewers

Prediction:

 

The Brewers -1.5 Runs

+110
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

Fresh off a three-game sweep of the defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers, the Pittsburgh Pirates look to stay hot as they host the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at PNC Park.

The Pirates are coming in as enticing +130 underdogs in Game 1 against the Brewers, who went 1-3 in their last four games.

Current Form:

The Pirates completed a three-game sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers this week, improving their record to 64-77. Pittsburgh has been a terrific pitching club this season with an elite 3.87 ERA. However, the Pirates have taken their pitching prowess to a whole new level over the last five games, during which they have lowered their ERA to an impressive 2.86. The Pirates have also bumped up their run production from their season average of 3.3 runs per game to 6.5 runs over this five-game stretch.

The Brewers have lost three of their last four games, including two against the Phillies in the previous series. Milwaukee still lords atop the NL Central with an 86-55 record, but they are facing constant pressure from the trailing Chicago Cubs, who trail them by 5.5 games with plenty of regular-season baseball left in September. Over the last five games, the Brewers have averaged a modest 4.2 runs per game and 4.09 ERA, with their starters surrendering a 5.19 ERA across five games.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Milwaukee Brewers
0.599 162 97 65
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  7
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  7
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  0
Colorado Rockies
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  10
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  6
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
9 :  8
Arizona Diamondbacks
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh Pirates against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

33 %

Milwaukee Brewers

67 %

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
12 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
14 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points

  1. Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
  2. Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
  3. Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.
  4. Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Key Stat: Brewers starter Quinn Priester is 5-0 with a 3.33 ERA in his last five starts.

Priester will be the difference-maker in this intriguing series-opener between the Brewers and the Pirates. Priester, who blanked the Toronto Blue Jays through 6.0 innings in his last start on August 30, has surrendered an average of 2.0 runs across his last five starts. Moreover, the Brewers managed to win by at least two runs in 4 of Priester’s last five mound appearances. The Brewers hold an impressive 45-24 record against the spread this season.

The Pirates have lost their last five meetings against the Brewers. Also, in their last three faceoffs, Pittsburgh has been outscored by the Brewers by a wide margin. Pittsburgh has averaged 2.0 runs per game while letting Milwaukee average 11.0 runs per game. Although Pirates starter Johan Oviedo has been solid in his last five starts (3-2, 4.71 ERA), I really don’t think he will dominate the Brewers the way he did more than two years ago, when he blanked Milwaukee through seven innings on August 6, 2023.

Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Milwaukee Brewers: the Brewers -1.5 Runs

Prediction:

 

The Brewers -1.5 Runs

+110
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks