Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9/22/26 18:40
Milwaukee Brewers

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia Phillies to score over 3.5 runs

−120
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 by Stephen Abiola | in MLB Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (86-70) will look to keep their playoff hopes alive when they host Milwaukee Brewers (98-58) on Tuesday night. The Phillies are coming off a 7-2 win over the Mets in what was almost a must-win match. It was a huge win for the Phillies as it ensures they maintain their comfortable lead over the Diamondbacks. The Phillies can mathematically clinch the NL East, although that will require the Braves to lose all their remaining matches. They are the -145 betting favorites to win tonight.

Milwaukee Brewers, meanwhile, have already secured their top position in the NL Central. They sit 11 games ahead of the Cubs, who are still battling for a playoff spot. The Brewers will head into the final week of the regular season carrying the best record in the league and have won eight of their last 10 assignments. Their pitching staff has been commendable lately, giving up zero runs in their last two matches against the Orioles. They don’t need to score many runs to defeat their opponents.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Milwaukee Brewers
0.636 162 103 59
8 Philadelphia Phillies
0.543 162 88 74

Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 10, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  2
Houston Astros

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
13 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
20 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
0 :  1
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

17 %

Milwaukee Brewers

83 %

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

May 31, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  17
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks

Philadelphia Phillies - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points

  1. The Phillies scored three or more runs in their last seven matches.
  2. The Phillies scored over 3.5 runs in four of their last six home games.
  3. The Phillies are 3-2 in their last five matches all-time.
  4. The Phillies are 10-4 in their last 14 home matches.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Phillies still need to win to secure their wild-card spot, making this a must-win game. Their offense is capable of blowing out any opponent, although they didn’t score against the Brewers in two of their last three meetings. We’re backing them to score over 3.5 runs tonight because they’ll be facing Dustin May, who has been inconsistent in September. The lefty has gone 7-9 this season with a 4.61 ERA. In comparison, Zach Wheeler provides the Phillies with a more stable foundation tonight. The righty has a 13-5 record with a solid 2.99 ERA. He has been impressive in his last three starts, recording a stellar 1.04 ERA. Wheeler certainly gives Philadelphia an edge in this matchup.

Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers: Philadelphia Phillies to score over 3.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia Phillies to score over 3.5 runs

−120
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.