New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/3/25 19:10
Milwaukee Brewers

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Total Runs

-119
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

One of the intriguing matchups set for Thursday night will see the New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mets and Brewers.

Milwaukee enters this game with a record of 48-38. The Brewers are expected to start Jose Quintana in this game, who has a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 3.30. Quintana’s most recent start was about average, allowing four earned runs over 5.2 innings against the Colorado Rockies in what was a 10-6 win.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 49-38. The Mets are projected to counter with David Peterson, who has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 3.30. Peterson is coming off a poor start, one where he allowed five earned runs over 4.2 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates in what resulted in a 9-1 loss.

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Milwaukee Brewers
0.599 162 97 65
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
12 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  0
Atlanta Braves
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  7
Atlanta Braves

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Jun 15, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  9
Tampa Bay Rays
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
12 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
10 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
10 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 12, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  0
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 11, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
0 :  9
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  17
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 4, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  9
Milwaukee Brewers

New York Mets against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

33 %

Milwaukee Brewers

67 %

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Oct 3, 2024 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  4
New York Mets

Oct 2, 2024 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 26, 2023 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 15, 2022 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers

New York Mets - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points

  1. Jose Quintana has allowed 22 earned runs in 60.0 innings this season
  2. David Peterson has allowed 35 earned runs in 95.1 innings this season
  3. The Brewers are averaging 4.73 runs per game this season
  4. The Mets are averaging 4.33 runs per game this season

Our New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Given how even these teams are in terms of their record, we will instead be looking at the total. One thing that immediately stands out is that Quintana and Peterson will be pitching in their best environment.

Quintana has been lights out on the road this season, posting a record of 4-0 with an ERA of  1.31 over six starts. As for Peterson, he is at his best when pitching at home. Peterson has a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.22 in eight home starts this season. 

With both pitchers in their preferred environment, our New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is: Under 8.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Total Runs

-119
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks