Michigan State Spartans vs USC Trojans Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Michigan State Spartans
9/20/25 23:00
USC Trojans

Prediction:

 

Michigan State Spartans +17.5

-115
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NCAA Picks

One of the crucial games on the Week 4 college football Saturday slate will be a Big Ten Conference game between the Michigan State Spartans and the 25th-ranked USC Trojans. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Spartans and the Trojans.

Michigan State enters this game with a record of 3-0, and this will be their first Big Ten game of the season. The Spartans most recently beat the Youngstown State Penguins in Week 3 by a score of 41-24. Michigan State’s offense had a total of 444 yards, while its defense allowed 339 yards. Quarterback Aiden Chiles threw for 270 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while also leading the team in rushing with 76 yards.

As for USC, they enter this game with a record of 3-0, and they are 1-0 in the Big Ten. The Trojans most recently beat the Purdue Boilermakers in Week 3 by a score of 33-17. USC’s offense had a total of 460 yards, while its defense allowed 357 yards. Quarterback Jayden Maiava threw for 282 yards, while running back Waymond Jordan led the team in rushing with 77 yards and one touchdown.

Michigan State Spartans vs USC Trojans Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
1
USC Trojans
USC Trojans
1 2 2 0 0
16
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans
0 1 0 0 1

Michigan State Spartans and USC Trojans Latest Matches

Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Youngstown State Penguins
24 :  41
Michigan State Spartans

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Boston College Eagles
40 :  42
Michigan State Spartans

Aug 29, 2025 - NCAA

Western Michigan Broncos
6 :  23
Michigan State Spartans

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
41 :  14
Michigan State Spartans

Nov 22, 2024 - NCAA

Purdue Boilermakers
17 :  24
Michigan State Spartans

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan State Spartans
16 :  38
Illinois Fighting Illini
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Youngstown State Penguins
24 :  41
Michigan State Spartans

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Boston College Eagles
40 :  42
Michigan State Spartans

Aug 29, 2025 - NCAA

Western Michigan Broncos
6 :  23
Michigan State Spartans

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
41 :  14
Michigan State Spartans

Nov 22, 2024 - NCAA

Purdue Boilermakers
17 :  24
Michigan State Spartans

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Indiana Hoosiers
47 :  10
Michigan State Spartans
L L L L
Victories

0/4 (0%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

4/4 (100%)

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan State Spartans
16 :  38
Illinois Fighting Illini

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan State Spartans
17 :  24
Michigan Wolverines

Oct 4, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan State Spartans
10 :  31
Oregon Ducks

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan State Spartans
19 :  23
Boston College Eagles
USC Trojans
USC Trojans Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

USC Trojans
33 :  17
Purdue Boilermakers

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Georgia Southern Eagles
20 :  59
USC Trojans

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
13 :  73
USC Trojans

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
49 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

USC Trojans
19 :  13
UCLA Bruins
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Georgia Southern Eagles
20 :  59
USC Trojans

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
13 :  73
USC Trojans

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
49 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Nebraska Cornhuskers
20 :  28
USC Trojans

Oct 25, 2024 - NCAA

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
20 :  42
USC Trojans
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

USC Trojans
33 :  17
Purdue Boilermakers

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

USC Trojans
19 :  13
UCLA Bruins

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

USC Trojans
21 :  26
Washington Huskies

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

USC Trojans
28 :  29
Maryland Terrapins

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

USC Trojans
17 :  24
Minnesota Golden Gophers

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

USC Trojans
24 :  27
Michigan Wolverines

Michigan State Spartans - USC Trojans Key Points

  1. USC is 0-1 ATS vs the Big Ten this season
  2. USC is averaging 55.0 points per game this season
  3. Michigan State is averaging 35.3 points per game this season
  4. This is Michigan State’s first Big Ten game of the season

Our Michigan State Spartans vs USC Trojans Prediction

USC is the heavy favorite in this game, and while they have won their games by an average margin of 38.3 points per game this season, they may be worth fading in this matchup against Michigan State. The Trojans failed to cover the spread against Purdue in Week 3, and it is safe to say they are now facing a better team in Michigan State.

USC is at home in this matchup; however, the Spartans have been resilient so far this season. They have had success throwing and running the football; therefore, our Michigan State Spartans vs USC Trojans prediction is: Michigan State Spartans +17.5.

Prediction:

 

Michigan State Spartans +17.5

-115
$400+ offered for betting!

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Michigan State Spartans vs USC Trojans Picks