Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Washington Nationals
6/3/26 13:05
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs.

-143
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 by Stephen Abiola in MLB Picks

Washington Nationals (31-31) and Miami Marlins (28-34) will wrap up their three-game series on Wednesday evening at Nationals Park. The Nationals have already lost the series after giving up their first two assignments. They’ve been uninspiring so far, losing 7-3 on both occasions, including the Tuesday night defeat, where they remained hitless until the sixth inning. The hosts will be keen to tighten up defensively today and improve their 31-31 record.

Miami Marlins, meanwhile, have been surprisingly good in this series, considering they’re coming off a 3-0 series drubbing against the Mets. The Marlins have punished the Nationals for their mistakes with some powerful offensive and defensive displays. They hit three straight homers on Tuesday night to stun the Nats and go 5-5 in their last 10 games. This was the first time the Marlins had hit back-to-back homers since August 2023.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Washington Nationals
0.492 63 31 32
21 Miami Marlins
0.46 63 29 34

Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jun 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 31, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

May 30, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  4
San Diego Padres

May 29, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  7
San Diego Padres

May 27, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Washington Nationals
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jun 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 31, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

May 30, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  4
San Diego Padres

May 29, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  7
San Diego Padres

May 21, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  2
New York Mets
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 27, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  6
Washington Nationals

May 25, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  10
Washington Nationals

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 23, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  4
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jun 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 31, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  1
Miami Marlins
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  0
New York Mets

May 23, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  1
New York Mets

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
New York Mets

May 21, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  9
Atlanta Braves

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  9
Atlanta Braves

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  8
Atlanta Braves
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jun 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 31, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Nationals

17 %

Miami Marlins

83 %

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jun 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  7
Washington Nationals

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  3
Washington Nationals

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
3 :  2
Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. The total runs went over in four of the last five Washington Nationals matches.
  2. The total runs went over in four of the last five Miami Marlins matches.
  3. The total runs went over 7.5 in four of the last five Washington Nationals matches.
  4. The total runs went over 7.5 in four of the last five Miami Marlins away games.

Our Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Nationals are the -115 favorites. They’ll be keen to avoid a series sweep after painful back-to-back defeats. However, they haven’t looked comfortable playing at home this season, with a 12-19 record to show for their efforts. They’re also conceding runs lately, averaging 5.4 runs in their last five matches. Still, we cannot fully trust them to win because they’ve looked unconvincing on the road, going 10-19 this season. We’ll, therefore, stay with the recent trend by taking the total points to go over 7.5. The Nats will hand Andrew Alvarez (4.02 ERA) his second start, whereas the Marlins will start Max Meyer (5-0, 2.97 ERA). These stats clearly favor the Marlins, although we expect the hosts to grab a few runs.

Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Over 7.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs.

-143
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Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Picks