San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
9/19/26 20:40
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5

-120
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 by Bill Christy in MLB Picks

The San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins meet again tonight for the sandwich game of their 3-game series.

San Diego has been the hottest team in baseball this month. Their strong play continued last night when they decimated the Marlins 8-2. After falling behind 1-0 in the 3rd inning, they posted 6 runs in the 5th inning to take the 6-1 lead and never let up. Jackson Merrill and Ty France each homered in the win. France finished 2 for 4 with 3 RBIs and powered the Padres offense.

After an ugly start to the month, the Marlins looked to have turned things around before last night’s game. They had won 4 of their last 5 leading into the game. They were averaging 5 runs per game over that stretch. Eury Perez will get the start for the Marlins tonight, and that means one thing: they will need to provide serious run support. Perez has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. His last outing was his “best” of that stretch. He allowed 3 runs over 5 innings in that game.

San Diego will start Casey Mize, who has seen his fair share of struggles since coming over at the trade deadline. He is just 2-3 with the Padres and has a nearly 6.00 ERA since joining the club.

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 San Diego Padres
0.552 154 85 69
16 Miami Marlins
0.494 154 76 78

San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
9 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
7 :  8
San Diego Padres

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  6
San Diego Padres
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  2
Washington Nationals

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Washington Nationals

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  2
Washington Nationals

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  5
New York Yankees
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
9 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
7 :  8
San Diego Padres

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
6 :  7
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  7
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
14 :  15
New York Mets

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  7
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  9
New York Mets
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  7
Miami Marlins

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
7 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  9
Miami Marlins

San Diego Padres against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

67 %

Miami Marlins

33 %

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Picks

San Diego Padres - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Over is 9-0 in Padres last 9 games following a win.
  2. Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  3. Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  4. Over is 5-0 in Mize’s last 5 starts overall.

Our San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Padres should likely continue their winning ways here tonight. However, if that happens, it is likely going to be on the back of their offense. We could see them hitting this over on their own, but with Mize having struggles since joining the team, we expect the Marlins to do their part in pushing this over the number as well.

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins: Over 7.5

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5

-120
$350 offered for betting!

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