San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy in MLB Picks
The San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins meet again tonight for the sandwich game of their 3-game series.
San Diego has been the hottest team in baseball this month. Their strong play continued last night when they decimated the Marlins 8-2. After falling behind 1-0 in the 3rd inning, they posted 6 runs in the 5th inning to take the 6-1 lead and never let up. Jackson Merrill and Ty France each homered in the win. France finished 2 for 4 with 3 RBIs and powered the Padres offense.
After an ugly start to the month, the Marlins looked to have turned things around before last night’s game. They had won 4 of their last 5 leading into the game. They were averaging 5 runs per game over that stretch. Eury Perez will get the start for the Marlins tonight, and that means one thing: they will need to provide serious run support. Perez has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. His last outing was his “best” of that stretch. He allowed 3 runs over 5 innings in that game.
San Diego will start Casey Mize, who has seen his fair share of struggles since coming over at the trade deadline. He is just 2-3 with the Padres and has a nearly 6.00 ERA since joining the club.
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San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.552 | 154 | 85 | 69 |
|
16
|
0.494 | 154 | 76 | 78 |
San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 18, 2026 - MLB
Sep 17, 2026 - MLB
Sep 16, 2026 - MLB
Sep 15, 2026 - MLB
Sep 14, 2026 - MLB
Sep 13, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 18, 2026 - MLB
Sep 9, 2026 - MLB
Sep 8, 2026 - MLB
Sep 7, 2026 - MLB
Sep 6, 2026 - MLB
Sep 5, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 17, 2026 - MLB
Sep 16, 2026 - MLB
Sep 15, 2026 - MLB
Sep 14, 2026 - MLB
Sep 13, 2026 - MLB
Sep 12, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 18, 2026 - MLB
Sep 16, 2026 - MLB
Sep 15, 2026 - MLB
Sep 14, 2026 - MLB
Sep 13, 2026 - MLB
Sep 12, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 13, 2026 - MLB
Sep 12, 2026 - MLB
Sep 11, 2026 - MLB
Sep 9, 2026 - MLB
Sep 8, 2026 - MLB
Sep 7, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 18, 2026 - MLB
Sep 16, 2026 - MLB
Sep 15, 2026 - MLB
Sep 14, 2026 - MLB
Sep 3, 2026 - MLB
Sep 2, 2026 - MLB
San Diego Padres against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 18, 2026 - MLB
Jul 26, 2026 - MLB
Jul 25, 2026 - MLB
Jul 24, 2026 - MLB
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
Jul 22, 2025 - MLB
San Diego Padres - Miami Marlins Key Points
- Over is 9-0 in Padres last 9 games following a win.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Mize’s last 5 starts overall.
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Our San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Padres should likely continue their winning ways here tonight. However, if that happens, it is likely going to be on the back of their offense. We could see them hitting this over on their own, but with Mize having struggles since joining the team, we expect the Marlins to do their part in pushing this over the number as well.
Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins: Over 7.5
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