Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB
USA - MLB
Prediction:
Marlins Team Total Under 2.5 Runs
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by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins (54-89 SU, 67-76 ATS) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (67-76 SU, 77-66 ATS) in their series opener. The Marlins come into this game as heavy underdogs for multiple reasons. First, they haven’t won a game all year against Pittsburgh, losing all four meetings when the teams played in South Florida. Second, Miami’s well on its way to 90 losses and has an outside chance to lose 100. To avoid triple digits, the Marlins will have to go 9-10 the rest of the way.
Third, and most important, Paul Skenes is on the mound. Skenes appeared to be running out of gas in his first full season, but he has looked much better since the Pirates stopped running him out past the sixth inning. Pittsburgh has little reason to push Skenes hard this year, as it isn’t going to even get to .500. This year is more about getting Skenes through healthy.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
|
28
|
0.383 | 162 | 62 | 100 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 7, 2024 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 7, 2024 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 3, 2024 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 8, 2024 - MLB
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Aug 30, 2024 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 8, 2024 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Pittsburgh Pirates against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 30, 2023 - MLB
Jun 24, 2023 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Miami Marlins Key Points
- The Marlins are 3-1 in their past four road games.
- The visitor is 6-1 SU in the past seven meetings.
- The Marlins have scored two runs or less in their past seven defeats.
- The over is 4-1 in the Pirates’ past five games.
Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Pirates should have a comfortable edge here, as Skenes has held two of his past three opponents without a run. Of course, the third start was the infamous 14-10 games against the Cubs, where Skenes watched helplessly from the dugout as the Pirates’ bullpen allowed Chicago to climb right back into the game after Skenes held the Cubs to just two runs.
The Marlins will throw Valente Bellozo, who has been rather inconsistent. In his past outing against Washington, he was brilliant, holding the Nationals to three hits and no runs. In his prior two starts, not so much, as he allowed 11 earned runs in 8.2 innings. With Bellozo not having the same track record and the Marlins facing a daunting task, the best play is to count on Skenes. Our prediction for Miami vs. Pittsburgh is Marlins Team Total Under 2.5 Runs.
Prediction:
Marlins Team Total Under 2.5 Runs
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