Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 6/15/26, 3:04 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 6/15/26 at 10:10 PM in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings with the Marlins. Philadelphia will host the Marlins on Monday, looking to sustain its dominance.

The Marlins’ pitching staff has played a major role in their recent success, posting an impressive 2.43 ERA over the last 10 games. The offense has also delivered terrific numbers in this stretch. The Marlins are batting .263 while averaging 4.9 runs per game.

Miami will be starting Ryan Gusto (0-1, 6.00 ERA), who pitched four scoreless innings in an 8-0 win over Arizona on June 10.

The Phillies have gone 2-3 in their last five games. At 38-33, Philadelphia still holds the No.2 spot in the NL East, but they are now just clinging on to a 1.5-game lead on the third-place Washington Nationals (37-35). Averaging 4.1 runs per game this season, Philadelphia’s offense took a bump after a couple of scoreless games against the Brewers. During this five-game period, the Phillies have averaged 3.6 runs and batted .218 at the plate.

The Phillies will deploy Zach Wheeler (5-1, 2.22 ERA) to the mound in Game 1. Wheeler conceded one earned run over six innings in a 2-3 loss to Toronto on June 8.

As expected, the Phillies roll into Game 1 as clear-cut favorites at -205 moneyline. Philadelphia, which is 5-1 in its last six meetings with the Marlins, is also offering even money (+100) if they cover -1.5 runs on Monday.