Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 9/25/25, 2:43 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 9/29/25 at 5:09 AM in MLB Picks

After splitting the first two games, the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will settle the score in Thursday’s series finale at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies, 6-4 in their last 10 games against the Marlins, are the heavy favorites at -164 moneyline and +128 on the -1.5 run line.

Current Form:

The Phillies bounced back from a heartbreaking 5-6 extra-inning loss in the series opener by blasting Miami 11-1 in Game 2. The win gave Philadelphia its first win after suffering back-to-back losses to the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Marlins. Over the last five games, Philadelphia has pitched to a 3.60 ERA and averaged 5.7 runs per game on a .274 batting average. The Phillies have secured the NL East title with a 93-65 record.

The Marlins' seven-game win streak was snapped after Wednesday’s loss, but they are still the hottest team in the NL East, having won 11 of their last 13 games. The Marlins have batted .265 with an average of 3.8 runs per game and posted a 3.86 ERA in their previous five games.

Starting Pitchers Matchup:

Marlins RHP Janson Junk (6-3, 4.27 ERA) vs. Phillies RHP Walker Buehler (9-7, 5.13 ERA).