Athletics vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Athletics
7/4/26 21:40
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Over 11 Total Runs

-101
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

A huge Fourth of July slate is scheduled in the MLB on Saturday, which will include an Interleague matchup between the Athletics and the Miami Marlins. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Athletics and the Marlins.

Miami enters this game sitting a handful of games above .500 and, as a result, is currently in third place in the NL East division. Starting this game for the Marlins will be Sandy Alcantara, who has a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 4.20. The main problem with Alcantara is that he has struggled on the road this season, suggesting that the Athletics’ offense should be able to have success against him. 

As for the Athletics, they enter this game several games under .500, and with that, are currently in fourth place in the AL West division. Set to start Game 2 of this series for the Athletics will be Aaron Civale, who has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 5.05. Civale has been far worse when pitching at home this season, a trend that looks likely to continue against the Marlins.

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Athletics vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Miami Marlins
0.528 89 47 42
21 Athletics
0.466 88 41 47

Athletics and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Athletics
Athletics Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
5 :  12
Miami Marlins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  1
Athletics

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  2
Athletics
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
5 :  12
Miami Marlins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  9
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  9
Los Angeles Angels

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  7
Los Angeles Angels
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  1
Athletics

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  2
Athletics

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  9
Athletics

Jun 25, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
6 :  9
Athletics

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
2 :  1
Athletics

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  1
Athletics
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
5 :  12
Miami Marlins

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
14 :  4
Miami Marlins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  3
Miami Marlins

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  14
Miami Marlins

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
7 :  10
Miami Marlins

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  1
Miami Marlins
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
Texas Rangers

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Texas Rangers

Jun 22, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  4
Texas Rangers

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Jun 19, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
San Francisco Giants
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
5 :  12
Miami Marlins

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
14 :  4
Miami Marlins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  3
Miami Marlins

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  14
Miami Marlins

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
7 :  10
Miami Marlins

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Athletics against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Athletics

50 %

Miami Marlins

50 %

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
5 :  12
Miami Marlins

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  3
Athletics

May 5, 2024 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  12
Miami Marlins

May 4, 2024 - MLB

Athletics
20 :  4
Miami Marlins

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 22, 2022 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  3
Miami Marlins
Athletics vs Miami Marlins Picks

Athletics - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Sandy Alcantara has an ERA of 4.20 this season
  2. Sandy Alcantara has an ERA of 5.27 on the road this season
  3. Aaron Civale has an ERA of 5.05 this season
  4. Aaron Civale has an ERA of 6.83 at home this season
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Our Athletics vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Marlins are the small favorite in this game; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. This specifically goes back to the home/away splits for the two starting pitchers. Alcantara has made a total of nine away starts this season, having allowed 36 runs (33 earned) over 56.1 innings. Civale, on the other hand, has made six home starts, in which he has allowed 21 earned runs over 27.0 innings.

In addition, Alcantara has an ERA of 7.94 over the last week, while Civale has an ERA of 7.20 over the same stretch. Therefore, given how inconsistent the starting pitchers have been recently, our Athletics vs Miami Marlins prediction is: Over 11 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 11 Total Runs

-101
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.