New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
4/3/26 13:35
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Under 8 Total Runs

-112
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

A 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for all day Friday, which includes an interleague matchup between the New York Yankees (5-1) and the Miami Marlins (5-1). Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Yankees and the Marlins.

Miami is off to an unexpected start to the 2026 season, winning both of the first two series against the Colorado Rockies and the Chicago White Sox. Looking to continue this hot start, the Marlins are scheduled to start Eury Perez, who has an ERA of 3.86 through one start this season. In his first start, Perez allowed three earned runs to Colorado over 7.0 innings.

As for New York, they are also off to a hot start, sweeping the San Francisco Giants to open the season and then taking two of three games against the Seattle Mariners. The Yankees are set to start Will Warren in Game 1 of this series, who has an ERA of 2.08, allowing just one earned run over 4.1 innings in his first start against San Francisco.

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New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 New York Yankees
0.559 118 66 52
12 Miami Marlins
0.504 119 60 59

New York Yankees and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  5
New York Yankees

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  1
New York Yankees

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 25, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  7
New York Yankees
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 19, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Detroit Tigers

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  5
New York Yankees

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  1
New York Yankees

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 25, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  7
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
10 :  0
Chicago White Sox

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  2
Chicago White Sox

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  9
Chicago White Sox

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
Colorado Rockies
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
10 :  0
Chicago White Sox

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  2
Chicago White Sox

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  9
Chicago White Sox

Mar 29, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Mar 28, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Mar 27, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
Colorado Rockies
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

St. Louis Cardinals
7 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
4 :  7
Miami Marlins

Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
1 :  0
Miami Marlins

Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
0 :  1
Miami Marlins

Mar 9, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
9 :  0
Miami Marlins

New York Yankees against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

40 %

Miami Marlins

60 %

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
New York Yankees

Apr 10, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  5
Miami Marlins

Apr 9, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Apr 8, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  0
Miami Marlins

Feb 29, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
0 :  0
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Picks

New York Yankees - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Perez has an ERA of 3.86
  2. Miami’s bullpen has an ERA of 0.51
  3. Warren has an ERA of 2.08
  4. New York’s bullpen has an ERA of 1.83
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Our New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Prediction

New York is the heavy betting favorite in this game; however, the under looks to be the best betting option. The Yankees have been dominant so far this season, especially their pitching. New York leads the league in team ERA at 1.01, and is allowing an average of 1.0 run per game. To this point, none of the Yankees' games this season have seen more than eight runs.

Miami, on the other hand, also has had excellent pitching overall. As a team, they have an ERA of 2.83, which is tied for the fourth-best mark in the MLB. Further, the Yankees’ offense has yet to really get going, as they are averaging 4.0 runs per game.

With both pitching staffs looking in top form coming into this game, our New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins prediction is: Under 8 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8 Total Runs

-112
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.