New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/30/26 19:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Over 7

-115
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 by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins head North to begin a 4-game series with a division opponent, the New York Mets, tonight. This will be the 1st meeting of the teams since they exchanged home sweeps back in May.

Miami is coming off a huge sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies. They snapped a 12-game losing streak when they took game one against Philly and continued that momentum all the way through the series. They posted 8 runs in the bookend games of the series and used a brilliant start from Sandy Alcantara in game two to pick up a 1-0 win.  Now they will rely on Eury Perez to maintain their momentum, but he will likely need solid run support. 

New York has been struggling all season. The fan base is already giving up on the season, and with the team being 17.5 games out of 1st in the division, it is not a surprise. That said, they still have the ability to post runs on any given night. They just put up 14 runs a couple of nights ago against Martin Perez and the Braves. With the Marlins being in the top 10 in combined batting average, the Mets will need to give starter Nolan McLean some support in this one.

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
14 Miami Marlins
0.505 109 55 54
26 New York Mets
0.422 109 46 63

New York Mets and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jul 27, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
14 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jul 27, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
14 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 22, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 21, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 16, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  4
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 28, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 27, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  4
San Diego Padres
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 28, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 27, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  4
San Diego Padres
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Jul 22, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 21, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  3
Miami Marlins

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
8 :  5
Miami Marlins

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  6
Miami Marlins

Jul 17, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

New York Mets against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

50 %

Miami Marlins

50 %

May 31, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  7
Miami Marlins

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  0
New York Mets

May 23, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  1
New York Mets

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
New York Mets
New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks

New York Mets - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. OVER is 3-0 in the last 3 games between these teams.
  2. OVER is 6-0 in Perez’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
  3. Over is 7-0 in Perez’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  4. Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Our New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Both starters were strong in their last starts against these lineups a couple of months ago. That said, we do not expect the bats to stay quiet in this one. We believe the total is too low because of those last starts and gives us value here on the over. We like this 1st game of the series to see some fireworks and see the total go over the number.

Our prediction for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins: Over 7

Prediction:

 

Over 7

-115
$1000 offered for betting!

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