New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The New York Mets ended their five-game losing streak with a 4-2 win over the Cincinnati Reds.
The Mets, last in the NL East with a 23-33 record, will start right-handed pitcher Freddy Peralta, who carries a 3-4 record with a 3.52 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season.
After winning Game 8-2, the Miami Marlins dropped their last two games against the Toronto Blue Jays (1-8 in Game 2 and 1-2 in Game 3) to lose that series.
The Marlins sit in fourth place in the NL East with a 26-31 record. Max Meyer, who sports a 5-0 record with a 2.52 ERA, has blanked the last two teams he tossed against and recorded three shutouts in his last five starts.
Matchup Analysis:
The Marlins have won their last four meetings against the Mets and eight of their last 10 faceoffs.
Max Meyer has also recorded a shutout in his last two starts against the Mets, including a seven-inning masterclass (0 earned runs and 1 hit) he pulled off on May 23. Miami won that game 4-1.
In his last start against the Marlins, Freddy Peralta gave up 4 earned runs over 7 innings in a 1-4 loss on May 23. Miami is batting .247 with 4.6 runs per game against right-handed pitchers this season.
Unless the Mets offense, which produces 3.8 runs per game this season, explodes in this series opener, it’s going to be really difficult for them to end their losing woes against the Marlins.
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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
0.504 | 119 | 60 | 59 |
|
25
|
0.442 | 120 | 53 | 67 |
New York Mets and Miami Marlins Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 27, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 24, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 24, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 27, 2026 - MLB
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New York Mets against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
May 24, 2026 - MLB
May 23, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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New York Mets - Miami Marlins Key Points
- NY Mets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
- NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
- Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against NY Mets.
- Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Our New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Bet on the Marlins to win on the road.
Meyer will dominate the Mets again as he has done in his last two starts.
The Marlins have surrendered just two runs to the Mets in their last four meetings, highlighting their pitching and fielding dominance during this stretch of their head-to-head series.
It also doesn’t help that the Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games and 1-4 in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. the New York Mets: The Marlins will win.
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