Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks
The Marlins, despite being blown out by the Pirates and losing 1-13 in the final game of the series, won three of their four series in August. Without rest, the "Fighting Fish" will be at Great American Ballpark on Friday to face the Mets and the tough pitcher Chase Burns.
It will be an engaging game where the Marlins will rely on Sandy Alcántara. On April 7, when the venue was Miami, the Dominican pitcher threw 8.1 innings against the Reds in a game his team lost 3-6, but it was a series against Cincinnati in which the Marlins took two out of three. Alcántara has a 13-6 record. He's having an excellent run lately, breaking the franchise record for innings pitched and throwing 20 scoreless innings in his last three starts against the Phillies, Mets, and Angels.
The Mets will counter with Burns, who has a 13-2 record this year. In 124 innings pitched, he struck out 143 batters this year; he's been pitching much more effectively at home compared to when he's been on the road. The last time he pitched in Cincinnati, he earned his 13th win of the season and struck out 9 Pirates.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
0.508 | 122 | 62 | 60 |
|
20
|
0.483 | 120 | 58 | 62 |
Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 13, 2026 - MLB
Aug 12, 2026 - MLB
Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
Aug 9, 2026 - MLB
Aug 8, 2026 - MLB
Aug 7, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2026 - MLB
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
Aug 4, 2026 - MLB
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
Aug 1, 2026 - MLB
Jul 31, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 13, 2026 - MLB
Aug 12, 2026 - MLB
Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
Aug 9, 2026 - MLB
Aug 8, 2026 - MLB
Aug 7, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 13, 2026 - MLB
Aug 12, 2026 - MLB
Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
Aug 9, 2026 - MLB
Aug 8, 2026 - MLB
Aug 7, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 13, 2026 - MLB
Aug 12, 2026 - MLB
Aug 11, 2026 - MLB
Aug 9, 2026 - MLB
Aug 8, 2026 - MLB
Aug 7, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 6, 2026 - MLB
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
Aug 4, 2026 - MLB
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
Aug 1, 2026 - MLB
Jul 31, 2026 - MLB
Cincinnati Reds against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 9, 2026 - MLB
Apr 8, 2026 - MLB
Apr 7, 2026 - MLB
Apr 6, 2026 - MLB
Jul 10, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Miami Marlins Key Points
- The Marlins have a 24-35 road record this season
- Stowers is among the Marlins' injured players, and Steer is out with an injury for the Reds
- The Reds are averaging 7.6 hits per game
- The Marlins' collective batting average is sixth best in MLB
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction
After being swept by the Nationals in D.C., the Reds defeated the White Sox 9-8 in the final game of the series in Chicago to take the series. Stewart hit his 26th home run of the year, Suárez his 18th, and Stephenson hit a key 3-run homer.
The Reds' batting task will be to prevent Alcantara from settling into the mound, while the Marlins will have to count on Burns finding a way to navigate into the fifth or sixth innings as he did so many times this year in Cincinnati.
Our prediction for Reds vs Marlins is: Under 8 runs.
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