Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8/17/25 13:35
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Red Sox -1.5

-126
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox will go for the sweep today when they host the Miami Marlins in Game Three of a weekend series at Fenway. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. EST.

Boston came into the series having lost four of their last six games on the road. But coming home has done wonders for the Red Sox as the team took Game One Friday night 2-1, scoring the winning run with an RBI single in the ninth. Yesterday’s game wasn’t nearly as close, with Boston winning 7-5. Garrett Crochet will get the start for the Red Sox. He’s gone 13-5 in 24 starts with a 2.48 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and a .223 OBA. Crochet has been solid at home, going 4-3 in 11 starts with a 2.43 ERA and a .218 OBA. He’s allowed two runs or less in his last three starts. As for Miami, Janson Junk gets the start. He has gone 6-2 in ten starts (15 appearances) with an ERA of 4.06, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .268 OBA. He has had his best stuff on the road, where he is 4-0 in five starts (eight appearances) with a .252 OBA.

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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Boston Red Sox
0.549 162 89 73
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  7
Kansas City Royals

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Houston Astros
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  10
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  13
Miami Marlins

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Houston Astros

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  7
Houston Astros

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
New York Yankees

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
New York Yankees

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
13 :  12
New York Yankees
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  13
Miami Marlins

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

83 %

Miami Marlins

17 %

Aug 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jun 29, 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  2
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Boston leads the all-time series vs. Miami 36-16.
  2. The Red Sox have won five in a row vs. the Marlins. Miami last beat Boston in the 2023 season (3-0).
  3. Boston is 15-11 since the break; Miami is 14-14.
  4. Betting Public: 86% of runline tickets and 87% of the handle are on the Red Sox.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Junk is not a bad pitcher, but he has allowed at least three runs in his last five games. While Crochet gave up five to Houston his last time out, he surrendered seven total in his previous five games. He’ll get plenty of support from a lineup averaging six runs a game over the last week. Miami has averaged over five, but they might be lucky to score one vs. Crochet.

Our Miami vs. Boston Pick: Red Sox -1.5

Prediction:

 

Red Sox -1.5

-126
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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Picks